Bengals vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals Week 3 Monday

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Bengals vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals Week 3 Monday

WAS @ CIN

Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals Week 3Commanders vs BengalsCommanders vs BengalsCommanders vs BengalsCommanders vs BengalsCommanders vs BengalsCommanders vs Bengals

Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals
Todays Game is on Monday, September 23rd
23/09/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The Commanders are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to earn 6.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs.

Terry McLaurin has posted a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With a fantastic 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Terry McLaurin places among the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a staggering 249.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the most in football.

Since the start of last season, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a staggering 8.66 yards.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

In this game, Joe Burrow is forecasted by the predictive model to total the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.0. , Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in football.

Joe Burrow comes in as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with a fantastic 67.7% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 84th percentile.

The model projects Zack Moss to garner 12.9 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Zack Moss has earned 55.3% of his team’s run game usage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Zack Moss has picked up 55.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (81st percentile).

The Washington Commanders defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The model projects the Commanders as the 5th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Brian Robinson to total 14.9 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

With an impressive record of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Brian Robinson stands among the leading pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

The Bengals defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, allowing 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

In this week’s game, Mike Gesicki is forecasted by the model to slot into the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.5 targets.

Mike Gesicki has notched a whopping 26.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The projections expect Zach Ertz to earn 4.8 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

As it relates to air yards, Zach Ertz grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a massive 41.0 per game.

Zach Ertz has been in the 93rd percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 40.5 mark since the start of last season.

Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 95.6% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Ja’Marr Chase is positioned as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 71.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals Negative Match Player Stats

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Commanders are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders have played in the 10th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier weather in this week’s game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Bengals cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are overwhelmingly favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard game plan.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.

With a weak 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Joe Burrow places among the least efficient quarterbacks in the league.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to run on 36.6% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Brian Robinson has been a less important option in his offense’s rushing attack this year (49.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (60.4%).

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Cincinnati’s unit has been great since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Mike Gesicki comes in as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing a mere 69.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile.

With a subpar 5.6 adjusted yards per target (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Gesicki rates among the worst TE receiving threats in football.

Zach Ertz grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a measly 64.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile.

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