
CIN @ CLE







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.2% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
With a top-tier 97.8% Route Participation% (99th percentile) last year, Ja’Marr Chase stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
The model projects Ja’Marr Chase to earn 10.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
With a fantastic 98.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (100th percentile) last year, Ja’Marr Chase ranks among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league.
In this contest, Mike Gesicki is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.1 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among tight ends last year, accumulating a remarkable 38.0 per game.
With a terrific 41.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (87th percentile) last year, Mike Gesicki has been among the best pass-game TEs in football.
A throwing game script is implied by the Browns being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Browns are anticipated by the model to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns last year (a massive 62.0 per game on average).
Jerry Jeudy rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs last year, averaging an impressive 69.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
With an impressive total of 240.0 adjusted passing yards per game (85th percentile), Joe Flacco has been among the best passers in the league last year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (234.0 per game) versus the Bengals defense last year.
The model projects Chase Brown to earn 17.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Chase Brown has generated 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (87th percentile).
Last year, the stout Cleveland Browns run defense has allowed a puny 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 25th-smallest rate in football.
The model projects Jerome Ford to notch 11.4 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The projections expect Jerome Ford to be a more integral piece of his team’s ground game this week (45.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (31.0% in games he has played).
With an outstanding rate of 4.92 adjusted yards per carry (84th percentile), Jerome Ford places among the top pure rushers in the league last year.
In this contest, Joe Burrow is expected by the model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0.,Joe Burrow is positioned as one of the top passers in the league last year, averaging an excellent 297.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.
With an exceptional 71.6% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) last year, Joe Burrow rates among the most on-target QBs in the NFL.
The Bengals defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (57.0) versus tight ends last year.
Negatives with the Cleveland Browns Game Today
A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.2 per game) last year.
The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football last year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Browns defense has given up the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) versus TEs last year.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.6%) versus tight ends last year (69.6%).
Last year, the fierce Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a mere 63.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-smallest rate in football.
The model projects the Bengals as the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 35.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Browns linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league last year with their run defense.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to run on 38.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Cleveland Browns defense last year (67.5% Adjusted Completion%).
David Njoku profiles as one of the least efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging just 5.88 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 10th percentile.
David Njoku profiles as one of the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
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