
CLE @ CIN







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 22nd
22/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Browns may rely on the pass game less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to use backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Browns being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 139.6 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.2 per game) this year.
The most plays in football have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
In this game, Jerome Ford is projected by the model to land in the 75th percentile among running backs with 13.9 rush attempts.
Jerome Ford’s 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a meaningful growth in his rushing talent over last year’s 3.6 mark.
This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals run defense has surrendered a whopping 130.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 10th-worst in football.
The Bengals are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 139.6 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The projections expect Chase Brown to garner 20.0 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Chase Brown’s 60.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a significant gain in his rushing skills over last year’s 16.0 mark.
This year, the fierce Browns run defense has surrendered a paltry 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s ground game: the 26th-best rate in football.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the greatest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to attempt 41.0 passes in this contest, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow’s 288.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a meaningful gain in his throwing skills over last year’s 241.0 figure.
With an outstanding 69.4% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow has been as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league.
In this game, Mike Gesicki is expected by the projection model to place in the 76th percentile among tight ends with 4.1 targets.
Mike Gesicki has posted significantly more air yards this season (36.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
Mike Gesicki has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
With a high 97.6% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Ja’Marr Chase places among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Ja’Marr Chase to accumulate 11.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Ja’Marr Chase has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (96.0) this season than he did last season (75.0).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Jerry Jeudy’s 4.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteable decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season’s 5.7% figure.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to run on 38.2% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
When it comes to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Cincinnati’s group of LBs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.
The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
The Cincinnati offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a mere 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.
This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a measly 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-fewest in football.
This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a paltry 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.2%) to wide receivers this year (60.2%).
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