Chiefs vs Cowboys Match Player Stats | Week 13 Thursday 2025

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KC @ DAL

Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys Week 13Chiefs vs CowboysChiefs vs CowboysChiefs vs CowboysChiefs vs CowboysChiefs vs CowboysChiefs vs Cowboys

Todays Matchup Details

Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 27th
27/11/25 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today

The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to garner 15.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Javonte Williams has been a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this year (67.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (32.9%).

Javonte Williams has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (85.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).

Javonte Williams’s ground efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.78 rate last season.

Javonte Williams’s 3.89 yards-after-contact this season reflects a material boost in his running proficiency over last season’s 2.40 rate.

The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Opposing squads have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in football (137 per game) against the Cowboys defense this year.

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Dallas’s group of LBs has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect CeeDee Lamb to garner 10.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

After accumulating 81.0 air yards per game last year, CeeDee Lamb has gotten better this year, currently boasting 119.0 per game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

This week, Rashee Rice is forecasted by the model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.7 targets.

With a top-tier 25.7% Target Share (91st percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.

This week, Dak Prescott is anticipated by the projections to total the 4th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.7.,With a fantastic rate of 261.0 adjusted passing yards per game (97th percentile), Dak Prescott rates as one of the leading QBs in football this year.

In this contest, Jake Ferguson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among TEs with 6.4 targets.

Jake Ferguson has accrued a whopping 31.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among tight ends.

The predictive model expects Patrick Mahomes to attempt 38.3 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.

Patrick Mahomes is positioned as one of the best passers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 274.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

Negatives with the Dallas Cowboys Game Today

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 36.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 98.0 per game) versus the Chiefs defense this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to run on 35.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The Dallas offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

CeeDee Lamb’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a meaningful drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last year’s 4.7% rate.

This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has allowed a paltry 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-fewest in the league.

Travis Kelce has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s passing game this year (19.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.6%).

After totaling 59.0 air yards per game last year, Travis Kelce has fallen off this year, currently averaging 39.0 per game.

Travis Kelce’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.53 figure last season.

Rashee Rice’s sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 81.1% to 74.7%.

Rashee Rice’s 8.6 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a remarkable decrease in his receiving talent over last year’s 9.8 figure.

Rashee Rice’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a significant regression in his efficiency in space over last season’s 7.0% rate.

Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 206.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.

The Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the best collection of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

Jake Ferguson rates as one of the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a lowly 5.88 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 11th percentile.

Jake Ferguson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a meaningful reduction in his effectiveness in space over last season’s 5.2% figure.

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