
DAL @ WAS





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 24th
24/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 136.4 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average).
The predictive model expects the Commanders to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 69.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Commanders this year (a massive 58.4 per game on average).
This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 9.04 yards.
The Cowboys defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the most in the league.
The Cowboys safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to run on 52.5% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
Brian Robinson’s 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a noteable progression in his rushing talent over last season’s 47.0 figure.
This year, the porous Cowboys run defense has conceded a monstrous 157.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Terry McLaurin to garner 6.6 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
When it comes to air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 94th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a superb 93.0 per game.
With an excellent 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
CeeDee Lamb has put up far fewer air yards this year (90.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb’s 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 71.1.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
CeeDee Lamb’s 77.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 103.0 figure.
An extreme running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a heavy 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
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