Christmas Day: Cowboys vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 17 Thursday 2025

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DAL @ WAS

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 17 Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders
Todays Game is on Thursday, December 25th
25/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Dallas Cowboys Game Today

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.4% pass rate.

The model projects the Cowboys to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).

In this game, George Pickens is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.1 targets.

This year, the poor Washington Commanders pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

The projections expect the Commanders as the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.2% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has garnered 27.7% of his team’s run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Washington’s run game in this week’s contest at 43.6%.

Chris Rodriguez Jr.’s running efficiency (4.75 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (78th percentile among running backs).

The Cowboys defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry.

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Dallas’s collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Terry McLaurin to notch 7.6 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In regards to air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 90th percentile among wide receivers this year, accruing a superb 91.0 per game.

Jake Ferguson’s 77.5% Route% this year reflects a meaningful gain in his passing offense usage over last year’s 67.0% figure.

The Commanders defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (70.0) versus tight ends this year.

Javonte Williams has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).

Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.

Dak Prescott has attempted 37.7 passes per game this year, grading out in the 100th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

This year, the shaky Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a whopping 259.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Negatives with the Washington Commanders Game Today

A running game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a 6.5-point favorite this week.

George Pickens’s 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 71.0.

When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in football this year.

George Pickens’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 3.0% figure.

The Washington Commanders may lean on the pass less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The Commanders are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

With regard to a defense’s effect on tempo, at 28.71 seconds per play, the model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Terry McLaurin has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).

Terry McLaurin’s 61.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 70.4% mark.

Terry McLaurin’s skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.62 figure last season.

Jake Ferguson checks in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a lowly 6.24 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.

Jake Ferguson’s skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.24 mark last year.

The model projects the Cowboys to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.6% run rate.

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Washington’s unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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