MNF: Cowboys vs Raiders Match Player Stats | Week 11 Monday 2025

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DAL @ LV

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 11 Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders
Todays Game is on Monday, November 17th
17/11/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Dallas Cowboys Game Today

This game’s line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).

This week, Javonte Williams is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 90th percentile among running backs with 17.5 carries.

Javonte Williams has been a more integral piece of his offense’s ground game this season (65.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (32.9%).

Javonte Williams’s 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates an impressive progression in his running skills over last year’s 31.0 figure.

This year, the weak Cowboys run defense has yielded a staggering 149.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-worst in football.

The Cowboys linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to accrue 7.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

After accumulating 26.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has undergone big improvement this year, now averaging 35.0 per game.

The model projects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.6 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

The Raiders pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) versus wideouts this year (69.6%).

Dak Prescott has attempted 37.1 throws per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among QBs.

With an exceptional total of 255.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Dak Prescott ranks among the best passers in the league this year.

Negatives with the Las Vegas Raiders Game Today

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run on 40.6% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have just 125.9 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s game.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to run on 39.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see only 125.9 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.9 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

The Dallas O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

With a feeble 6.0 adjusted yards per target (12th percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson rates among the bottom pass-catching tight ends in the league.

The Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.3%) vs. TEs this year (69.3%).

CeeDee Lamb’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 68.6% to 65.1%.

CeeDee Lamb’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a meaningful drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 4.7% mark.

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