Buccaneers vs Cowboys Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2024

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Buccaneers vs Cowboys Match Player Stats | Week 16 Sunday 2024

TB @ DAL

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 22nd
22/12/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Mike Evans to accrue 9.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Mike Evans’s 68.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 97th percentile for WRs.

Mike Evans has been one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 70.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.1 plays per game.

In this week’s game, Rico Dowdle is projected by the projections to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.8 rush attempts.

Rico Dowdle has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).

The Buccaneers defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 4.72 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Baker Mayfield’s 271.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a substantial growth in his passing prowess over last season’s 231.0 figure.

Baker Mayfield’s throwing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.6% to 70.4%.

The predictive model expects Cade Otton to accrue 5.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Cade Otton has been much more involved in his offense’s passing game this year (19.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).

As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a monstrous 35.0 per game.

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.

This year, the weak Dallas Cowboys run defense has yielded a massive 139.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 4th-most in football.

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Dallas’s collection of DTs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.

After totaling 118.0 air yards per game last season, Mike Evans has significantly declined this season, currently averaging 89.0 per game.

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup QB Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 38.2% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

With a feeble 71.0% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) this year, Cade Otton places among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends.

The Cowboys offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

With a lackluster 58.6% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Cooper Rush rates as one of the least accurate QBs in football.

With a subpar 5.62 adjusted yards-per-target (6th percentile) this year, Cooper Rush ranks as one of the worst per-play QBs in the league.

This year, the strong Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a paltry 4.6 YAC.

The Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 5th-best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

CeeDee Lamb has compiled far fewer air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).

CeeDee Lamb’s 61.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 71.1.

CeeDee Lamb’s 78.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a significant regression in his receiving prowess over last season’s 103.0 figure.

CeeDee Lamb’s 67.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year’s 74.7% figure.

Jake Ferguson has compiled far fewer air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

Jake Ferguson’s 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a remarkable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 46.0 figure.

Jake Ferguson’s pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a measly 6.54 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.15 rate last year.

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