
NYG @ DAL







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 28th
28/11/24 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Dallas Cowboys may take to the air less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup QB Cooper Rush.
The projections expect the Cowboys as the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Giants will be rolling out backup QB Tommy DeVito in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This game’s spread suggests a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -4-point underdogs.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rico Dowdle’s 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a significant gain in his running skills over last season’s 23.0 rate.
The Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering 5.58 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to run on 45.7% of their downs: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (157 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
With a 4-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.
CeeDee Lamb has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (90.0 per game) than he did last year (109.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb’s 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 71.1.
CeeDee Lamb’s 77.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 103.0 figure.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to pass on 54.3% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, New York’s unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in football.
In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
Cooper Rush is positioned as one of the worst precision passers in the league this year with a 57.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.
Cooper Rush checks in as one of the least effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a measly 4.65 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 11th percentile.
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