
DAL @ CAR







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Dallas Cowboys may pass less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 60.8 per game on average).
The Panthers pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.3%) versus wide receivers this year (68.3%).
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina’s collection of CBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the league.
The leading projections forecast Cooper Rush to attempt 36.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-most out of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league vs. the Panthers defense this year (73.5% Adjusted Completion%).
This week, Rico Dowdle is expected by the projection model to land in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 12.8 carries.
Rico Dowdle’s 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable improvement in his rushing talent over last season’s 23.0 rate.
Opposing squads have run for the most adjusted yards in the league (181 per game) vs. the Panthers defense this year.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Panthers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 134.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to accumulate 17.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Chuba Hubbard’s 77.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a significant gain in his rushing skills over last year’s 53.0 mark.
This year, the porous Dallas Cowboys run defense has allowed a monstrous 145.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-worst in the league.
In this game, Jake Ferguson is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.6 targets.
The Panthers defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (62.0) vs. TEs this year.
This year, the shaky Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a massive 8.60 yards.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 7th-most in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The model projects Adam Thielen to garner 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
While Adam Thielen has garnered 19.1% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Carolina’s passing attack in this week’s contest at 24.7%.
In regards to air yards, Adam Thielen grades out in the towering 78th percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a monstrous 68.0 per game.
Adam Thielen checks in as one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 64.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
While CeeDee Lamb has garnered 26.4% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Dallas’s offense in this game at 16.0%.
After averaging 109.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has regressed heavily this season, currently pacing 80.0 per game.
The Cowboys O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
CeeDee Lamb has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (103.0).
CeeDee Lamb’s 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a significant decrease in his receiving ability over last season’s 74.7% figure.
With a subpar 58.2% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Cooper Rush places among the least accurate QBs in the NFL.
With a feeble 5.29 adjusted yards-per-target (3rd percentile) this year, Cooper Rush rates among the least efficient QBs in the league.
While Rico Dowdle has accounted for 55.6% of his team’s carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Dallas’s run game in this contest at 45.2%.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 55.2 plays per game.
While Chuba Hubbard has been responsible for 71.5% of his team’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Carolina’s running game in this week’s contest at 56.5%.
After accruing 36.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has gotten worse this year, now averaging 29.0 per game.
Jake Ferguson’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging a mere 6.50 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.15 figure last season.
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This week, Bryce Young is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.5.,Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Bryce Young has been one of the bottom passers in football this year, averaging 169.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 16th percentile.
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