Commanders vs Buccaneers Match Player Stats | Week 19 Sunday 2025

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Commanders vs Buccaneers Match Player Stats | Week 19 Sunday 2025

WAS @ TB

Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 19Commanders vs BuccaneersCommanders vs BuccaneersCommanders vs BuccaneersCommanders vs BuccaneersCommanders vs BuccaneersCommanders vs Buccaneers

Todays Matchup Details

Week 19 Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 12th
12/01/25 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -3-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Zach Ertz’s 40.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 27.0 mark.

With a remarkable 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin stands as one of the best WRs in the league in the NFL.

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 58.9 plays per game.

This year, the deficient Washington Commanders run defense has given up a monstrous 133.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the worst in the league.

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Washington’s DE corps has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Brian Robinson to earn 13.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Brian Robinson’s 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful boost in his running skills over last year’s 47.0 figure.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

This year, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a staggering 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-most in football.

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.0% pass rate.

Baker Mayfield has attempted 34.0 throws per game this year, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to QBs.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.

Baker Mayfield has thrown for many more adjusted yards per game (275.0) this year than he did last year (231.0).

Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 8.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Mike Evans’s 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for WRs.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.70 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in football.

The Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

At the moment, the 4th-least run-focused offense in football (38.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buccaneers.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Commanders have been the 4th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 37.5% run rate.

Brian Robinson has been much less involved in his team’s rushing attack this season (48.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (60.4%).

This year, the tough Buccaneers run defense has conceded a meager 100.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-best in the league.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in the league (just 194.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.

The Commanders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in football.

Mike Evans has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (95.0 per game) than he did last season (118.0 per game).

Mike Evans’s 3.05 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a material decrease in his efficiency in space over last season’s 4.1% figure.

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