Buccaneers vs Dolphins Match Player Stats | Week 17 Sunday 2025

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 28th
28/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today

The Miami Dolphins defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (64.0) vs. TEs this year.

This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a whopping 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Miami’s group of DEs has been awful this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

The model projects Mike Evans to garner 7.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Mike Evans has notched far more air yards this season (114.0 per game) than he did last season (99.0 per game).

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.4%) to wide receivers this year (67.4%).

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in football against the Dolphins defense this year (75.1% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a monstrous 7.97 yards.

Negatives with the Miami Dolphins Game Today

This game’s line suggests a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 31.5 per game) this year.

Cade Otton has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (44.0).

Mike Evans’s 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last season’s 73.0 mark.

Baker Mayfield has passed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (187.0) this season than he did last season (274.0).

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