
TB @ LAC




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (62.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week’s contest, Mike Evans is expected by the projections to position himself in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.5 targets.
Mike Evans has been in the 92nd percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 65.0 mark this year.
Mike Evans checks in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 64.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.
The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to earn 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
Cade Otton’s 19.5% Target Share this season illustrates a substantial boost in his passing offense usage over last season’s 12.8% mark.
As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the lofty 86th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a colossal 35.0 per game.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Baker Mayfield has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (270.0) this season than he did last season (231.0).
Baker Mayfield’s passing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.6% to 69.6%.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
Mike Evans has notched far fewer air yards this year (84.0 per game) than he did last year (118.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.89 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in football.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles’s group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.
Cade Otton is positioned as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among tight ends, completing a measly 71.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.
This year, the tough Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a meager 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
The Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.29 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a meager 7.2 yards.
This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a paltry 4.4 YAC.
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