
ATL @ SD






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, October 1st
01/10/24 20:38:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Padres Matchup Today
When it comes to his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Petco Park profiles as the #4 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.
This game is expected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.
The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
When estimating his home run talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Out of every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.
The 3rd-best projected lineup of the day in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Atlanta Braves.
The #3 park in the majors for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
Ramon Laureano’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Higashioka are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage today.
When assessing his strikeout talent, Michael King projects as the 20th-best starter in MLB currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Atlanta Braves (23.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of all teams today.
Petco Park profiles as the #4 venue in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.
Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Jorge Soler projects as the 16th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today.
Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Kyle Higashioka is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Atlanta (#3-worst on the slate today).
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today’s game.
Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Padres
Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Ramon Laureano has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Laureano in today’s game.
Donovan Solano is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Batting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Donovan Solano will be in a tough position today.
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Xander Bogaerts meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcell Ozuna today.
The #1 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
Petco Park ranks as the #26 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will bat from his weak side against Michael King today.
Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Travis d’Arnaud is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Michael King will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Travis d’Arnaud in today’s game.
Travis d’Arnaud has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Travis d’Arnaud will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage today.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Orlando Arcia in today’s matchup.
Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.
Michael King projects as the 18th-best starting pitcher in MLB right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Atlanta Braves have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.
With 6 hitters who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Michael King figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Michael King will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael King to throw 80 pitches in this game (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Kyle Higashioka encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Bryce Elder, Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
When estimating his home run ability, Gio Urshela ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gio Urshela is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Gio Urshela will be in a tough position today.
Gio Urshela has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
When estimating his home run talent, Donovan Solano ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael King’s 92.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.2-mph drop off from last season’s 93.5-mph mark.
Michael King has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.42 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.24 — a 0.18 K/9 gap.
Michael King will hold the platoon advantage against Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gio Urshela in today’s game.
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