
TB @ CAR







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 1st
01/12/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the league (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buccaneers.
In this week’s contest, Mike Evans is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.6 targets.
The Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Mike Evans’s 64.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 61.1% rate.
This year, the poor Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-worst rate in football.
The leading projections forecast Cade Otton to garner 6.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
Cade Otton’s 19.7% Target Share this season conveys a material gain in his air attack workload over last season’s 12.8% mark.
Cade Otton has put up significantly more air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (70.0) vs. tight ends this year.
Right now, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (43.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers.
In this week’s contest, Chuba Hubbard is anticipated by the model to finish in the 97th percentile among running backs with 19.7 rush attempts.
Chuba Hubbard has been a more important option in his offense’s run game this year (71.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (52.0%).
Chuba Hubbard’s 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a noteworthy boost in his rushing prowess over last year’s 53.0 mark.
This year, the tough Buccaneers run defense has yielded a measly 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s running game: the 25th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Baker Mayfield has thrown for substantially more adjusted yards per game (274.0) this season than he did last season (231.0).
Baker Mayfield’s 71.4% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive gain in his passing accuracy over last year’s 63.6% figure.
This year, the porous Carolina Panthers defense has given up a massive 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-biggest rate in football.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
While Tommy Tremble has received 7.1% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Carolina’s passing attack in this contest at 12.5%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (61.0) versus TEs this year.
This year, the feeble Buccaneers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 83.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.
This year, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a monstrous 260.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-most in the league.
This year, the shaky Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a whopping 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-worst rate in the NFL.
The opposing side have run for the most adjusted yards in football (174 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Carolina’s DE corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Buccaneers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
After accruing 118.0 air yards per game last season, Mike Evans has produced significantly fewer this season, now boasting 76.0 per game.
Mike Evans’s 54.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 66.4.
Mike Evans has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
With a weak 72.0% Adjusted Catch% (22nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton places among the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.
This game’s line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -6-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 127.5 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
The Panthers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 53.4 plays per game.
The model projects the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Tommy Tremble’s 72.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 76.9% mark.
Tommy Tremble’s pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 5.45 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.83 rate last season.
The leading projections forecast Bryce Young to attempt 33.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
Bryce Young’s 141.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies an impressive reduction in his passing ability over last year’s 181.0 mark.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the stout Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a puny 3.9 YAC.
At the moment, the 4th-least run-centric team in the league (37.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
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