Buccaneers vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 8 Sunday 2025

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 26th
26/10/25 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 134.6 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Cade Otton to earn 5.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

Cade Otton rates as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 38.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The Saints pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.1%) to tight ends this year (81.1%).

The Saints pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 8.56 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

The New Orleans defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 134.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

In registering a monstrous 35.7 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield stands among the top QBs in the league (83rd percentile) by this measure.

The model projects Alvin Kamara to garner 13.9 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends rank as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The model projects Chris Olave to notch 10.6 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

Chris Olave has been a more important option in his offense’s pass attack this year (31.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.2%).

Negatives with the New Orleans Saints Game Today

This game’s line suggests a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 49.1 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Saints, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 29.4 per game) this year.

Cade Otton’s 13.0% Target% this year shows an impressive decline in his passing offense utilization over last year’s 19.0% mark.

Cade Otton has posted quite a few less air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Saints.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tampa Bay’s unit has been great this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

Baker Mayfield has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (246.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).

Baker Mayfield’s throwing precision has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.1% to 63.8%.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 40.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Alvin Kamara’s 39.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows an impressive drop-off in his running ability over last season’s 65.0 figure.

This year, the daunting Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has surrendered a measly 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Chris Olave’s 64.5% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 73.7% mark.

Chris Olave’s receiving effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 6.05 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 10.00 figure last season.

Chris Olave’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his efficiency in space over last season’s 3.5% rate.

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