Dolphins vs Browns Match Player Stats | Week 17 Sunday 2024

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Dolphins vs Browns Match Player Stats | Week 17 Sunday 2024

MIA @ CLE

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 17 Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 29th
29/12/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (62.8% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Miami Dolphins.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The 4th-most plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a colossal 60.1 per game on average).

In racking up a monstrous 37.0 pass attempts per game this year, Tua Tagovailoa slots in among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (95th percentile) by this metric.

Tua Tagovailoa profiles as one of the leading passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 274.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

Our trusted projections expect Devon Achane to accrue 14.8 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

This year, the stout Cleveland Browns run defense has yielded a meager 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 26th-lowest rate in the league.

The model projects Tyreek Hill to accrue 7.9 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among WRs.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 9.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

In this week’s contest, Jonnu Smith is expected by the projections to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.2 targets.

Jonnu Smith has accumulated many more air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (25.0 per game).

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The Dolphins are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.3 per game) this year.

Tua Tagovailoa’s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 7.52 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.56 figure last year.

This year, the stout Browns defense has given up a measly 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

At the moment, the 9th-least run-focused team in football (37.2% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Dolphins.

Devon Achane has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).

Devon Achane’s ground effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 3.58 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.35 mark last season.

Devon Achane has struggled more with generating extra running yardage this year, accumulating 2.74 yards-after-contact vs a 4.94 rate last year.

As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Cleveland’s unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Tyreek Hill has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (87.0 per game) than he did last season (113.0 per game).

Tyreek Hill’s 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (109.0).

Jonnu Smith’s ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, compiling just 5.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.14 figure last season.

The Browns defense has given up the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 46.0) to TEs this year.

This year, the stout Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a paltry 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.

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