
MIA @ SEA







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 16:05:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positive Match Players Stats Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 40.5% of their plays: the 11th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to call 66.0 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this game, Devon Achane is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.9 rush attempts.
While Devon Achane has garnered 36.1% of his offense’s carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Miami’s rushing attack in this week’s contest at 25.6%.
The opposing side have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in football (142 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Noah Fant is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.3 targets.
Noah Fant has been one of the most effective receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a terrific 8.39 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
With a remarkable 5.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Noah Fant stands as one of the best pass-catching TEs in football in picking up extra yardage.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Dolphins defense has conceded a monstrous 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.
The Dolphins pass defense has shown bad efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 7.96 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Miami’s collection of CBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
With a remarkable 90.1% Route Participation% (86th percentile) since the start of last season, D.K. Metcalf rates among the wideouts with the highest volume in football.
The predictive model expects D.K. Metcalf to notch 8.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
With a terrific 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, D.K. Metcalf stands among the best wide receivers in the game in football.
In this game, Tyreek Hill is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.2 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Tyreek Hill grades out in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a striking 112.0 per game.
Miami Dolphins at Seattle Seahawks Negative Match Players Stats
The Miami Dolphins will be forced to use backup QB Skylar Thompson in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The 8th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a measly 56.5 per game on average).
Miami’s passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats increased) considering playing the most “bad weather” (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We ought to be able to count on some regression with more favorable conditions in this game.
Devon Achane’s rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling a mere 3.18 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.26 rate last season.
Devon Achane has taken a step back when it comes to grinding out extra running yardage this year, compiling 2.03 yards-after-contact vs a 4.94 figure last year.
The Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Miami Dolphins, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.7 per game) since the start of last season.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle’s group of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.
Tyreek Hill’s sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 71.2% to 53.4%.
Tyreek Hill’s 7.6 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 10.4 mark.
Since the start of last season, the strong Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 4.0 YAC.
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