Commanders vs Dolphins Match Player Stats | Week 11 Sunday 2025

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WAS @ MIA

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 11 Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 16th
16/11/25 09:30:00 AM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Washington Commanders Game Today

The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

The predictive model expects Deebo Samuel Sr. to accumulate 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Deebo Samuel Sr.’s 27.1% Target% this season marks a noteworthy boost in his pass attack utilization over last season’s 18.6% figure.

Deebo Samuel Sr.’s 79.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a noteable improvement in his receiving talent over last year’s 63.6% figure.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week’s game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.

After averaging 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has undergone big improvement this year, now boasting 84.0 per game.

Jaylen Waddle’s 60.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 43.8.

The Commanders defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (171.0) versus WRs this year.

The model projects Zach Ertz to earn 6.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

When talking about air yards, Zach Ertz grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a striking 42.0 per game.

Zach Ertz has been in the 95th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 40.9 figure this year.

With a 41.5% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL has been the Dolphins.

Our trusted projections expect De’Von Achane to garner 14.5 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

De’Von Achane’s 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a significant boost in his running ability over last year’s 50.0 figure.

With a remarkable record of 4.86 adjusted yards per carry (75th percentile), De’Von Achane rates as one of the best pure runners in the league this year.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (133 per game) versus the Commanders defense this year.

This year, the porous Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered a whopping 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, surrendering 7.87 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (269.0 per game) against the Commanders defense this year.

This year, the deficient Commanders defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a staggering 9.54 yards.

The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Negatives with the Miami Dolphins Game Today

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.1 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.6 per game) this year.

Deebo Samuel Sr.’s ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.25 mark last year.

With a 58.5% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the league has been the Dolphins.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.7 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Jaylen Waddle’s skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 rate last year.

Zach Ertz’s 33.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a substantial decline in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 40.0 rate.

The predictive model expects De’Von Achane to be much less involved in his offense’s running game in this game (54.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (65.9% in games he has played).

The Washington defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

In registering a puny 22.6 pass attempts per game this year, Marcus Mariota places among the bottom QBs in football (16th percentile) by this metric.

This week, Tua Tagovailoa is expected by the projection model to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.2.,Tua Tagovailoa has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (182.0) this season than he did last season (268.0).

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