
LV @ MIA




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 17th
17/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
In this week’s game, Jonnu Smith is forecasted by the model to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.7 targets.
In regards to air yards, Jonnu Smith grades out in the towering 80th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating an impressive 25.0 per game.
Jonnu Smith’s 34.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 28.8.
Jonnu Smith’s sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 71.6% to 76.4%.
The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accrue 7.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.
With a terrific 5.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (77th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the league in the open field.
The Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
With an exceptional 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa has been as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the NFL against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
With a 7.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are a huge favorite in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dolphins to pass on 54.0% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see only 126.8 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.6 per game) this year.
After averaging 113.0 air yards per game last year, Tyreek Hill has seen a big downtick this year, now sitting at 81.0 per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has attempted just 26.2 passes per game this year, ranking in the 25th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
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