Dolphins vs Packers Match Player Stats | Week 13 Thursday 2024

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Dolphins vs Packers Match Player Stats | Week 13 Thursday 2024

MIA @ GB

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 13 Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 28th
28/11/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.

Jonnu Smith has accrued substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (34.0).

The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (60.0) vs. TEs this year.

Tucker Kraft has run fewer routes this year (83.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.0%).

In this week’s contest, Tucker Kraft is expected by the projection model to finish in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Tucker Kraft rates as one of the most effective receivers in football among TEs, averaging an exceptional 9.53 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Tucker Kraft’s ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this season, accumulating 9.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 7.48 rate last season.

After accounting for 31.2% of his offense’s rush attempts last season, Devon Achane has been called on more in the running game this season, now taking on 41.9%.

When it comes to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Green Bay’s unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

The Packers rank as the 4th-most run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 44.8% run rate.

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to total 18.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs’s 83.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a remarkable progression in his running skills over last year’s 63.0 figure.

Josh Jacobs’s 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates an impressive gain in his rushing prowess over last year’s 3.5 mark.

The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 36.2 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

Tua Tagovailoa’s 72.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a noteworthy boost in his passing precision over last year’s 69.6% mark.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 6th-most in the league.

With a stellar rate of 263.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Jordan Love has been as one of the top passers in football this year.

With an impressive 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target (89th percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands among the most effective QBs in the league.

This year, the feeble Miami Dolphins defense has been gouged for a whopping 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-worst rate in football.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Miami’s group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.

In this game, Tyreek Hill is expected by the projection model to place in the 77th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.

The Packers pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.56 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The model projects the Dolphins offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.

The Packers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

This week’s line suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The Packers rank as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.2% pass rate.

The Packers offense has played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 29.69 seconds per snap.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.7%) versus tight ends this year (70.7%).

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, giving up 6.53 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

The projections expect the Dolphins as the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Devon Achane has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Devon Achane’s ground effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling a measly 3.99 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.35 mark last season.

Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller piece of his team’s rushing attack this year (62.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Miami’s unit has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the NFL.

Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (239.0) this year than he did last year (282.0).

Tua Tagovailoa’s throwing efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.56 rate last year.

Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in football (just 210.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

Tyreek Hill has put up quite a few less air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (113.0 per game).

Tyreek Hill’s 61.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (109.0).

This year, the tough Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a puny 129.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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