
GB @ PHI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 12th
12/01/25 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.1 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Tucker Kraft’s 83.6% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a remarkable gain in his air attack workload over last season’s 44.0% mark.
In this week’s game, Tucker Kraft is anticipated by the model to rank in the 83rd percentile among tight ends with 4.6 targets.
Tucker Kraft comes in as one of the top TE receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 41.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
Jayden Reed has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (74.2% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (63.4%).
In this game, Jayden Reed is predicted by the model to place in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 6.9 targets.
Jayden Reed’s 75.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material progression in his receiving ability over last year’s 72.1% figure.
The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling out backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.1 per game on average).
This year, the shaky Packers defense has been torched for a colossal 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-highest rate in football.
With an exceptional 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (93rd percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates as one of the best pass-game TEs in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers defense has given up the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (60.0) versus tight ends this year.
At the moment, the 8th-most run-oriented team in football (41.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Green Bay Packers.
The projections expect Josh Jacobs to accumulate 18.3 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
Josh Jacobs’s 4.5 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a remarkable boost in his rushing prowess over last year’s 3.5 rate.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.
Jordan Love ranks as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.23 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 91st percentile.
In this week’s contest, A.J. Brown is projected by the predictive model to place in the 94th percentile among wide receivers with 8.9 targets.
A.J. Brown rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an outstanding 80.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.
The predictive model expects the Eagles as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Saquon Barkley’s 120.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects a remarkable progression in his rushing ability over last year’s 67.0 mark.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.7 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
The Eagles defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 35.0) to TEs this year.
The Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, yielding 6.21 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
After averaging 58.0 air yards per game last season, Jayden Reed has been a disappointment this season, currently pacing 38.0 per game.
The Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency against WRs this year, yielding 7.50 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this week’s contest, Jalen Hurts is projected by our trusted projection set to average the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 28.8.,This year, the daunting Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a paltry 7.6 yards.
The Packers safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
While Dallas Goedert has garnered 22.4% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Philadelphia’s passing attack this week at 12.8%.
The Packers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
Josh Jacobs has been much less involved in his offense’s run game this year (66.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).
This year, the strong Eagles run defense has conceded a feeble 101.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 8th-best in football.
When it comes to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Philadelphia’s unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a feeble 188.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the best in the league.
This year, the fierce Eagles defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a paltry 6.9 yards.
A.J. Brown has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (95.0 per game) than he did last year (116.0 per game).
This year, the daunting Green Bay Packers defense has allowed a meager 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 4th-fewest in football.
The Packers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, giving up 7.82 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering just 4.09 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in run defense, Green Bay’s group of DEs has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.
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