Saints vs Packers Match Player Stats | Week 16 Monday 2024

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Saints vs Packers Match Player Stats | Week 16 Monday 2024

NO @ GB

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers Week 16Saints vs PackersSaints vs PackersSaints vs PackersSaints vs PackersSaints vs PackersSaints vs Packers

Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers
Todays Game is on Monday, December 23rd
23/12/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 44.7% run rate.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Saints are anticipated by the projection model to run 69.4 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Kendre Miller to total 18.9 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The leading projections forecast Kendre Miller to be a much bigger part of his offense’s running game in this week’s contest (64.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.0% in games he has played).

With a remarkable tally of 3.71 yards after contact (92nd percentile), Kendre Miller has been as one of the toughest RBs in the league this year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (36.8 per game) this year.

Tucker Kraft’s 84.7% Route Participation% this year marks a noteworthy improvement in his passing offense utilization over last year’s 44.0% rate.

In this week’s game, Tucker Kraft is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 80th percentile among TEs with 4.4 targets.

With an impressive 39.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (84th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the best pass-catching TEs in football.

Jayden Reed has been less involved as a potential target this season (74.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (63.4%).

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jayden Reed’s ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 72.1% to 76.8%.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to run on 50.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Josh Jacobs has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (83.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

This year, the imposing Saints run defense has surrendered a paltry 5.08 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s ground game: the 30th-best rate in football.

With a stellar record of 253.0 adjusted passing yards per game (84th percentile), Jordan Love ranks as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

Jordan Love’s throwing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 8.54 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.33 rate last season.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Saints being a big -14-point underdog in this week’s contest.

This year, the feeble Packers run defense has yielded a monstrous 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 25th-highest rate in the league.

The Green Bay defensive ends grade out as the 8th-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Packers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

The Saints linebackers grade out as the 9th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

After averaging 58.0 air yards per game last season, Jayden Reed has gotten worse this season, now sitting at 35.0 per game.

In this contest, Jordan Love is forecasted by the model to average the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.0.

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