
ARI @ GB







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 13th
13/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The Cardinals are a 5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
The projections expect the Cardinals to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) this year.
Kyler Murray’s passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.3% to 68.3%.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (251.0 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.6 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 37.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks.
The Packers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Jordan Love is positioned as one of the leading QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 255.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
In this game, Trey McBride is projected by the projection model to finish in the 100th percentile among TEs with 8.8 targets.
Trey McBride has been much more involved in his team’s passing attack this year (25.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (20.0%).
Jayden Reed’s 79.7% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a remarkable boost in his passing attack volume over last year’s 63.4% figure.
In this week’s contest, Jayden Reed is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.6 targets.
Jayden Reed’s 72.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a noteable growth in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 50.0 rate.
This week, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile among RBs with 17.0 rush attempts.
Josh Jacobs’s 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a noteable boost in his rushing skills over last year’s 63.0 mark.
This year, the anemic Cardinals run defense has allowed a colossal 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-worst in the league.
The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.3% run rate.
The predictive model expects James Conner to accumulate 16.7 carries this week, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
James Conner has averaged 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Green Bay’s unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
In this game, Tucker Kraft is projected by the projections to find himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.0 targets.
Tucker Kraft has been a more important option in his offense’s passing offense this season (14.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (7.0%).
Tucker Kraft rates as one of the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a fantastic 39.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
This year, the porous Packers defense has given up a whopping 160.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-worst in the league.
The Green Bay cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.7% pass rate.
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).
Kyler Murray has passed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (194.0) this year than he did last year (224.0).
The Packers are a 5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a running game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Jordan Love’s 57.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his throwing precision over last year’s 65.2% figure.
Trey McBride’s 68.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive reduction in his receiving ability over last season’s 76.3% figure.
Trey McBride’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling just 5.98 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.66 figure last year.
Trey McBride’s 3.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks an impressive decrease in his effectiveness in space over last year’s 5.1% figure.
After averaging 58.0 air yards per game last year, Jayden Reed has produced significantly less this year, now sitting at 51.0 per game.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 40.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Josh Jacobs has been much less involved in his team’s rushing attack this year (57.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (81.5%).
The Cardinals safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.
While James Conner has received 67.9% of his offense’s rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Arizona’s ground game in this week’s game at 57.2%.
This year, the strong Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a paltry 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.
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