
GB @ SEA






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.6 per game) this year.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Packers grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
Jordan Love grades out as one of the top passers in football this year, averaging an excellent 254.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
Jordan Love’s 8.51 adjusted yards-per-target this season shows a meaningful progression in his passing effectiveness over last season’s 7.3% rate.
A throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
In this week’s contest, D.K. Metcalf is forecasted by the projections to place in the 98th percentile among WRs with 9.9 targets.
Geno Smith has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (270.0) this season than he did last season (237.0).
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to run on 44.8% of their downs: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Josh Jacobs has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
The Seahawks defense owns the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.89 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Noah Fant’s 84.7% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a significant progression in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 75.3% rate.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The model projects the Packers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The Packers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a measly 218.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.26 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in football.
As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
With a poor 58.8% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, D.K. Metcalf stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among wideouts.
D.K. Metcalf’s pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.90 figure last year.
D.K. Metcalf’s 4.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a noteable decline in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 5.6% rate.
The Green Bay Packers defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 128.0) to wideouts this year.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Green Bay’s group of safeties has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s run game this year (65.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).
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