
KC @ LAC







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, September 5th
05/09/25 20:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Chargers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been a bit of pass funnel last year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.3 per game) last year.
The Chiefs defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 10th-most in football.
With a remarkable 82.5% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) last year, Tyler Conklin stands among the TEs with the highest volume in football.
In regards to air yards, Tyler Conklin grades out in the lofty 78th percentile among TEs last year, accruing a whopping 23.0 per game.
Last year, the weak Chiefs pass defense has allowed a colossal 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-highest rate in the league.
Isiah Pacheco has received 43.3% of his offense’s run game usage last year, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Travis Kelce has run a route on 86.5% of his offense’s passing plays last year, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.
This week, Travis Kelce is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.8 targets.
As it relates to air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the lofty 100th percentile among TEs last year, averaging a massive 57.0 per game.
This week, Patrick Mahomes is anticipated by the projections to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.7.,Patrick Mahomes checks in as one of the leading passers in the league last year, averaging a fantastic 264.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
Negatives with the Los Angeles Chargers Game Today
A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this week’s game.
Last year, the tough Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a measly 4.2 YAC.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles’s group of safeties has been phenomenal last year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chargers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers last year (only 55.5 per game on average).
The Los Angeles Chargers have played in the 9th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier weather in this week’s game.
Last year, the stout Chiefs defense has given up the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a paltry 7.5 yards.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the league last year in covering receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts last year, surrendering 7.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in football.
The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing run games last year, giving up just 4.11 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 35.2% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The Chargers safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL last year in regard to stopping the run.
Travis Kelce rates as one of the bottom TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
The Chargers defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) to TEs last year.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has shown good efficiency against TEs last year, surrendering 6.21 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
The Chargers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency last year, yielding 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
Last year, the formidable Chargers defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a mere 4.6 YAC.
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