Saints vs Giants Match Player Stats | Week 14 Sunday 2024

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Saints vs Giants Match Player Stats | Week 14 Sunday 2024

NO @ NYG

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 14 New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 8th
08/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup QB Drew Lock.

This week’s spread implies a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -5-point underdogs.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the New York Giants this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

The Saints defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

With a 5-point advantage, the Saints are favored in this week’s game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

The model projects the Saints to be the 3rd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Alvin Kamara is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 100th percentile among RBs with 24.3 rush attempts.

The New York Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering 5.51 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to run on 45.3% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The New Orleans Saints defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.26 adjusted yards-per-carry.

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, New Orleans’s group of DTs has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has garnered 7.6% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in New Orleans’s offense in this game at 16.5%.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s receiving effectiveness has gotten better this year, totaling 9.61 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 7.52 mark last year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s 10.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a significant growth in his efficiency in space over last season’s 4.4% figure.

This year, the poor Giants pass defense has given up a whopping 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-largest rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Juwan Johnson to earn 5.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

The predictive model expects Juwan Johnson to be a more integral piece of his team’s passing game in this week’s contest (17.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.8% in games he has played).

Juwan Johnson’s receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.1% to 80.5%.

Juwan Johnson’s receiving efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 8.39 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.51 mark last season.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

With a very bad total of 2.78 yards after contact (20th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara rates as one of the worst running backs in the league.

The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: fewest in football.

The Saints O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling comes in as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 52.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile among wideouts,Juwan Johnson has put up far fewer air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).

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