
NO @ CAR



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 3rd
03/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to accrue 8.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Chris Olave’s possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 61.7% to 74.1%.
Chris Olave’s receiving efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 9.78 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 8.01 rate last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.2%) versus wide receivers this year (70.2%).
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 47.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect Alvin Kamara to notch 15.6 carries in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Opposing offenses have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (175 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
This week’s spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Saints, who are heavily favored by 7 points.
Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Chris Olave has notched far fewer air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (125.0 per game).
Chris Olave’s 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 68.1.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the worst in football this year.
The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to be a much smaller part of his team’s rushing attack in this week’s game (49.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (64.4% in games he has played).
With a terrible total of 2.38 yards after contact (5th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara stands among the worst running backs in the NFL.
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