Cardinals vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

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ARI @ NO

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Arizona Cardinals Game Today

The Saints are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 132.6 total plays run: the most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a fantastic 54.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (75th percentile) last year, Chris Olave has been as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 15.2 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, Alvin Kamara grades out in the 94th percentile for carries last year, accounting for 63.9% of the workload in his team’s running game.

With a stellar tally of 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Alvin Kamara stands among the top pure runners in the league last year.

Last year, the tough Arizona Cardinals run defense has allowed a meager 4.77 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 26th-lowest rate in the league.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have 132.6 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

The New Orleans Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (34.4 per game) last year.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Kyler Murray checks in as one of the most on-target QBs in the league last year with a fantastic 68.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the league versus the Cardinals defense last year (74.7% Adjusted Completion%).

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 47.3% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

James Conner has averaged 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest figures in football when it comes to running backs (89th percentile).

Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) versus the Saints defense last year.

The Saints pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.93 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 5th-most in the league.

With a top-tier 91.6% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) last year, Trey McBride rates as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

Trey McBride ranks as one of the best TE receiving threats last year, averaging an outstanding 73.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

The leading projections forecast Juwan Johnson to accrue 4.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

Negatives with the New Orleans Saints Game Today

The Saints offensive line ranks as the worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Cardinals defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 126.0) vs. wide receivers last year.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run on 40.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Cardinals safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in regard to stopping the run.

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Saints defense last year (68.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Last year, the strong Cardinals defense has allowed a mere 204.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Last year, the strong Saints defense has surrendered a puny 61.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Juwan Johnson comes in as one of the bottom TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 23rd percentile.

The Cardinals pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs last year, surrendering 6.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

Last year, the strong Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a mere 4.5 YAC.

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