Commanders vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 15 Sunday 2024

|
Commanders vs Saints Match Player Stats | Week 15 Sunday 2024

WAS @ NO

Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints Week 15Commanders vs SaintsCommanders vs SaintsCommanders vs SaintsCommanders vs SaintsCommanders vs SaintsCommanders vs Saints

Todays Matchup Details

Week 15 Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The predictive model expects the Commanders to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Commanders this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.

This week, Zach Ertz is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.

With an exceptional 60.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (80th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin stands among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 48.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Brian Robinson’s 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a significant improvement in his rushing prowess over last season’s 47.0 figure.

The Saints defense has produced the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding 5.18 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Saints will be starting backup quarterback Jake Haener this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Saints are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

In this week’s game, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to land in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets.

This year, the feeble Saints defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a colossal 5.95 YAC.

At the present time, the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the league (44.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Saints.

In this week’s game, Alvin Kamara is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.

Alvin Kamara’s 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects an impressive gain in his running talent over last year’s 57.0 mark.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (133 per game) vs. the Commanders defense this year.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

With a 7-point advantage, the Commanders are overwhelmingly favored in this game, implying much more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 51.2% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Zach Ertz ranks as one of the worst TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 6th percentile.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 9th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

This year, the formidable New Orleans Saints defense has given up a measly 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Brian Robinson has been a much smaller part of his team’s running game this season (48.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (60.4%).

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 55.5% pass rate.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.

Juwan Johnson has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the worst in football this year.

With a poor 3.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson ranks among the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL in space.

This year, the strong New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered a mere 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to be a less important option in his offense’s running game in this contest (55.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (65.5% in games he has played).

Alvin Kamara checks in as one of the bottom RBs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.78 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.

Latest New Orleans Saints Games

Latest Washington Commanders Games