
LAC @ ARI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, October 21st
21/10/24 21:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
This year, the poor Arizona Cardinals pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the highest rate in the NFL.
This year, the deficient Cardinals defense has surrendered the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a whopping 9.03 yards.
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest level in football vs. the Cardinals defense this year (77.2% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the feeble Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a colossal 8.44 yards.
The projections expect Will Dissly to earn 5.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Will Dissly has been much more involved in his offense’s passing offense this season (11.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%).
Will Dissly has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (14.0).
Will Dissly’s 92.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a substantial progression in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 89.4% mark.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Chargers defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a monstrous 9.12 yards.
The Chargers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.75 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
Kyler Murray’s passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.3% to 69.4%.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the league against the Chargers defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).
The model projects Trey McBride to accumulate 7.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Trey McBride has been a more important option in his team’s passing attack this year (25.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (20.0%).
After averaging 37.0 air yards per game last year, Trey McBride has seen marked improvement this year, now boasting 58.0 per game.
The Chargers pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.8%) versus TEs this year (80.8%).
The projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast J.K. Dobbins to notch 17.5 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Among all RBs, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 57.7% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
With a fantastic total of 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), J.K. Dobbins rates as one of the leading RBs in the NFL this year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (155 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.
The projections expect James Conner to accumulate 16.6 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
James Conner has garnered 61.9% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 123.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Chargers ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
Justin Herbert’s 170.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year marks an impressive regression in his throwing skills over last year’s 248.0 mark.
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.0 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 53.5 plays per game.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Los Angeles’s CB corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.
The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to attempt 31.8 passes in this week’s game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.
This year, the stout Chargers defense has conceded a mere 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-best in the NFL.
Trey McBride’s talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, averaging just 3.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.06 rate last year.
The Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to the safeties’ role in stopping the run, Arizona’s unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
James Conner has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (65.0) this year than he did last year (79.0).
This year, the stout Chargers run defense has yielded a paltry 95.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-best in the NFL.
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