WAS @ PHI



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 4th
04/01/26 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Washington Commanders Game Today
The Eagles will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The predictive model expects the Eagles offensive strategy to skew 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the model to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Eagles profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
This year, the shaky Commanders defense has been torched for a whopping 263.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
The Commanders may take to the air less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Josh Johnson.
This game’s spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are massive -7.5-point underdogs.
As far as a defense’s impact on pace, at 29.76 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.
Negatives with the Philadelphia Eagles Game Today
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week’s contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (only 54.8 per game on average).
The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Josh Johnson has attempted just 6.0 passes per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile among quarterbacks.
Josh Johnson grades out as one of the weakest QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging 39.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 17th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league against the Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the imposing Eagles defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a meager 7.0 yards.
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