Giants vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

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Giants vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

NYG @ WAS

New York Giants at Washington Commanders Week 1Giants vs CommandersGiants vs CommandersGiants vs CommandersGiants vs CommandersGiants vs CommandersGiants vs Commanders

Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 New York Giants at Washington Commanders
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the New York Giants Game Today

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 130.6 offensive plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.

The Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in the league last year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

In this game, Zach Ertz is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 82nd percentile among TEs with 4.6 targets.

Zach Ertz has been a big part of his team’s pass game, posting a Target Share of 18.8% last year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

Zach Ertz has totaled a staggering 44.0 air yards per game last year: 94th percentile among tight ends.

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 6th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 45.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Austin Ekeler’s ground effectiveness (4.92 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL last year (84th percentile when it comes to running backs).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (139 per game) versus the Giants defense last year.

The Washington Commanders cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst CB corps in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

Last year, the feeble Giants defense has been torched for a monstrous 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.

The Giants safeties grade out as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL last year in defending pass-catchers.

With a remarkable 8.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (99th percentile) last year, Deebo Samuel has been among the best wide receivers in the league in football in the open field.

Last year, the weak New York Giants defense has given up the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a massive 8.79 yards.

Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (133 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year.

The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst unit in football last year when it comes to stopping the run.

Negatives with the Washington Commanders Game Today

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.9 per game) last year.

In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.

Last year, the fierce Commanders defense has yielded a paltry 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 9th-fewest in football.

The Washington Commanders linebackers grade out as the 5th-best unit in football last year in pass coverage.

The Commanders are a 6-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.1 per game) last year.

Zach Ertz has been one of the weakest tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 6th percentile.

Last year, the stout New York Giants pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 3.7 YAC.

The Giants defensive tackles project as the 4th-best DT corps in football last year when it comes to defending the run.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.8%) to wide receivers last year (62.8%).

Last year, the imposing Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a meager 7.8 yards.

Last year, the imposing Giants defense has yielded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 4.7 YAC.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 3rd-fewest yards in the league (just 191.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense last year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in football against the Commanders defense last year (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The Giants pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.86 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

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