
WAS @ PHI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 14th
14/11/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Zach Ertz to accrue 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
Zach Ertz has been a big part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 19.2% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
As it relates to air yards, Zach Ertz grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a colossal 43.0 per game.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 129.8 plays on offense run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
In this contest, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile among wideouts with 8.7 targets.
A.J. Brown’s 91.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 77.6.
With an impressive 80.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (97th percentile) this year, A.J. Brown places as one of the best wide receivers in the game in the league.
A.J. Brown’s 12.0 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 9.6 mark.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 49.3% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Saquon Barkley’s 106.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates an impressive boost in his rushing skills over last year’s 67.0 mark.
Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in football (140 per game) versus the Commanders defense this year.
Jalen Hurts’s passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.9% to 69.5%.
With an excellent 7.87 adjusted yards-per-target (85th percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts ranks among the best per-play quarterbacks in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Washington’s group of CBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in football.
The projections expect Dallas Goedert to earn 5.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Dallas Goedert has posted a massive 38.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among tight ends.
Dallas Goedert rates as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 46.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Dallas Goedert’s 84.4% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy boost in his receiving talent over last season’s 73.8% mark.
This week, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 6.6 targets.
After averaging 93.0 air yards per game last year, Terry McLaurin has posted big gains this year, currently pacing 101.0 per game.
With an outstanding 64.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (86th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin rates among the leading WRs in the league in the NFL.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Zach Ertz ranks as one of the worst tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 7th percentile.
The Eagles defense has yielded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) versus tight ends this year.
This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a mere 6.8 yards.
The Eagles linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
This game’s line indicates a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
After accruing 116.0 air yards per game last season, A.J. Brown has regressed heavily this season, now boasting 111.0 per game.
The Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.25 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to be a less important option in his offense’s running game in this week’s game (43.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.6% in games he has played).
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Washington’s group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 9th-best in football.
In this contest, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the model to total the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.0.,Jalen Hurts’s 206.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a significant regression in his passing prowess over last year’s 231.0 figure.
Dallas Goedert has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (70.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (87.6%).
The Commanders defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 40.0) vs. TEs this year.
This year, the stout Eagles defense has allowed a meager 198.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best in the league.
This year, the daunting Eagles defense has allowed the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a feeble 6.9 yards.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.2%) versus WRs this year (60.2%).
The Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wideouts this year, giving up 7.32 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
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