Eagles vs Commanders Match Player Stats | Week 16 Saturday 2025

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PHI @ WAS

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Todays Game is on Saturday, December 20th
20/12/25 17:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Philadelphia Eagles Game Today

Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to notch 6.0 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.

Dallas Goedert has accrued a massive 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among TEs.

With an excellent 42.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (88th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert places among the leading TE receiving threats in football.

This year, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has conceded a massive 71.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-most in the league.

This year, the poor Washington Commanders defense has given up the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 9.90 yards.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to run on 45.6% of their plays: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

Our trusted projections expect Chris Rodriguez Jr. to total 12.7 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has accounted for 25.8% of his team’s run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Washington’s rushing attack in this game at 43.6%.

With a terrific record of 4.79 adjusted yards per carry (78th percentile), Chris Rodriguez Jr. stands among the best pure rushers in the NFL this year.

The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to accumulate 8.5 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

A.J. Brown has totaled a monstrous 96.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

This year, the deficient Commanders pass defense has given up a whopping 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. wideouts this year, yielding 9.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

The Commanders safeties rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia’s collection of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a staggering 264.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, conceding 9.22 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.

In this week’s contest, Deebo Samuel Sr. is expected by the projection model to rank in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 7.9 targets.

Deebo Samuel Sr. has been a more important option in his offense’s pass game this year (25.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.6%).

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Saquon Barkley to accumulate 19.7 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

Saquon Barkley has been given 65.2% of his offense’s run game usage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.

This year, the porous Washington Commanders run defense has been torched for a monstrous 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 5th-most in football.

Negatives with the Washington Commanders Game Today

This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 4th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

Dallas Goedert’s 41.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 47.0.

Dallas Goedert’s 77.7% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a material diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 83.2% rate.

The Commanders may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

This game’s line implies a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, Philadelphia’s DT corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

A.J. Brown’s 69.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 92.5.

A.J. Brown has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (80.0).

The model projects the Washington Commanders as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Marcus Mariota to throw 32.1 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.

Marcus Mariota’s throwing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 62.1%.

Marcus Mariota’s 7.43 adjusted yards-per-target this year shows a significant decline in his throwing effectiveness over last year’s 8.8% rate.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest level in football against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (63.2% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.3 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Jalen Hurts’s passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 68.3% to 65.2%.

Deebo Samuel Sr.’s ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.25 mark last year.

The Eagles pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.2%) vs. WRs this year (57.2%).

The Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 7.22 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Saquon Barkley has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).

Saquon Barkley’s rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling just 3.67 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.48 mark last season.

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Washington’s group of DEs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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