Mets vs Padres match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. New York Mets at San Diego Padres

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Mets vs Padres match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. New York Mets at San Diego Padres

NYM @ SD

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Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Padres

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Utilizing Statcast data, Jurickson Profar is in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .362.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The #4 field in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, David Peralta will have an advantage today.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his home run talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

The #4 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

J.D. Martinez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 94.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease today.

Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Jeff McNeil’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 10%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.6° mark in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Francisco Lindor has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.3° figure in the last week.

Francisco Lindor’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (18.5°) is significantly higher than his 13.4° angle last season.

The 4th-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the New York Mets.

Petco Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dylan Cease has recorded a .261 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Francisco Alvarez has put up a .331 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Tyler Wade will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Tyler Wade may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Cease to throw 98 pitches in this matchup (most of all pitchers today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The San Diego Padres have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today.

Tyler Wade will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

J.D. Martinez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 18.6% on the season to 22.2% in the last 14 days.

J.D. Martinez has recorded a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s game.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last season to 15.7% this season.

Mark Vientos has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 100.2-mph in the past week.

Over the past week, Jesse Winker’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late.

Jesse Winker has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week’s worth of games.

Recording 95 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Luis Severino places in the 90th percentile.

The #7 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 14 days.

Pete Alonso has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, Dylan Cease projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Padres

Petco Park projects as the #26 field in the game for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

This game is projected to have the 10th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Luis Severino, Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has had positive variance on his side given the .017 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

David Peralta is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, David Peralta has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 32% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, J.D. Martinez will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

J.D. Martinez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.D. Martinez today.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Manny Machado faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 88.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

From last year to this one, Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.7% to 11.8%.

Jurickson Profar has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 43.8% on the season to 23.1% over the past 7 days.

Brandon Nimmo has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 20.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 17.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Severino will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.3-mph average last year has dropped to 89.1-mph.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.2-mph in the past 14 days.

In the last week’s worth of games, Xander Bogaerts’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has been lucky given the .054 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Dylan Cease in this game.

Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dylan Cease in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

The New York Mets have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Dylan Cease will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Dylan Cease will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the last two weeks, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.6°, Xander Bogaerts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.5°) in the past two weeks.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph mark last season has dropped to 87.6-mph.

Based on Statcast data, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 1.000.

When it comes to power, Luis Arraez finds himself in the 3rd percentile, having paced 2.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

When assessing his home run ability, Tyler Wade ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Wade is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

32% of the time that Tyler Wade has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Based on Statcast data, Tyler Wade is in the 7th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at .800.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 3rd-worst venue in baseball for righty base hits.

David Peralta has been lucky this year, posting a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .021 gap.

It may be best to expect worse results for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Projected catcher Francisco Alvarez projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous GS, Luis Severino was on point and allowed 0 ER.

Out of all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball velocity of 95.5 mph grades out in the 89th percentile this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Wade ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesse Winker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesse Winker in today’s matchup.

Jesse Winker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 9.3%.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (11°) is considerably worse than his 14.6° figure last year.

In the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s 8.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

Sporting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 19th percentile.

As it relates to his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The San Diego Padres (18.6 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

Luis Severino’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (61.2 compared to 48.9% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Among all SPs, Luis Severino’s fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.

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