Nationals @ Mets Matchup Details

Positives for the Washington Nationals Game Today

Brady House is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°.

,Brady House hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Dylan Crews hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph.

,Compared to last year, Dylan Crews has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.1% to 22% this season.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today’s game.

,Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.

,Gabriel Arias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez in today’s game.

,The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.

,The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Robert Stock… and even better, Stock has a large platoon split.

,This season, Keibert Ruiz has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year’s 86.1 mph mark.

,Keibert Ruiz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 42.3% on the season to 90% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Carson Benge is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When assessing his home run skill, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Luis Robert Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Alvarez in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Jorge Polanco has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the last 14 days.

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Considering Robert Stock’s large platoon split, Jorbit Vivas will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Jorbit Vivas’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 45.4% on the season to 62.5% in the past two weeks.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Jorbit Vivas’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.3 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 94th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Stock today… and moreover, Stock has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

,Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Stock in today’s game… and even better, Stock has a large platoon split.

,Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.7° mark in the past week.

,Gabriel Arias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Gabriel Arias has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount lower than his 19.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his better side against Andrew Alvarez in today’s game.

,Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Abimelec Ortiz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Abimelec Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over Robert Stock in today’s game… and moreover, Stock has a large platoon split.

,Over the past week, Abimelec Ortiz has displayed impressive power, recording a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).

,Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Marcus Semien will have an advantage today.

,Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez.

,Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Washington Nationals in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .300, which is significantly worse than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.

,It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Washington Nationals offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 8th-worst park in MLB for batting average.

,Robert Stock will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Carson Benge will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #9 stadium in the majors for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,When it comes to his BABIP ability, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,A.J. Ewing has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jorbit Vivas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 15.8% on the season to 18.8% over the past two weeks.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Daylen Lile ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Andrew Alvarez was on point in his previous GS and conceded 0 ER.

,With a 3.21 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Andrew Alvarez places him the 87th percentile.

,Andrew Alvarez has posted a .321 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

,Washington has performed as the #3 club in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (16.8% rate this year).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,A.J. Ewing will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Negatives with the New York Mets Game Today

Brady House has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,Citi Field’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.

,Given Robert Stock’s large platoon split, Brady House will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,In the past week, Brady House’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

,The #1 park in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Considering Robert Stock’s large platoon split, Dylan Crews will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Grading out in the 19th percentile, Dylan Crews has put up a .290 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Francisco Alvarez’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 93.1-mph mark last year has lowered to 90.1-mph.

,Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 95.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 91.9-mph over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Alvarez’s true offensive ability to be a .318, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.

,Gabriel Arias is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Gabriel Arias has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

,Typically, hitters like Gabriel Arias who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andrew Alvarez.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, Keibert Ruiz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Citi Field projects as the #27 field in baseball for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Hitting from the same side that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Carson Benge encounters a tough challenge today.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.4-mph over the past two weeks.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 47.4% to 35.6%.

,In the past 7 days, Luis Robert Jr.’s 15.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 35.6%.

,Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Andrew Alvarez,Jorge Polanco’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 90.7-mph average last year has fallen off to 85.6-mph.

,Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

,In the past 7 days, Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 90.1 mph to 85.3 mph.

,Sporting a .179 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Bo Bichette grades out in the 17th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorbit Vivas in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Jorbit Vivas is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,This year, Jorbit Vivas has been pulled from the game early in 33% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s matchup.

,Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 74.5-mph over the last week.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for CJ Abrams in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, CJ Abrams’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 0%.

,CJ Abrams’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Daylen Lile has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile with a 3.34 K/BB rate.

,Placing in the 23rd percentile, Daylen Lile sits with a .272 BABIP this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 16% to 9.9%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Abimelec Ortiz has been pinch hit for 33% of the time.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Abimelec Ortiz in today’s matchup.

,Marcus Semien is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.5 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), checking in at the 9th percentile.

,Grading out in the 12th percentile, Marcus Semien sports a .279 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Grading out in the 25th percentile, Marcus Semien sits with a .365 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorbit Vivas in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Robert Stock’s overall pitching skill is in the 4th percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Robert Stock is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,Washington Nationals batters as a group grade out 3rd- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 9.3% Barrel%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.

,Carson Benge’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 15.9% on the season to 7.7% in the last week.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Carson Benge ranks in just the 23rd percentile with a 10.5° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

,Luis Robert Jr. has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.2% rate last year has fallen off to 3.9% this year.

,Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has been lucky given the .055 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Alvarez to throw 81 pitches in today’s game (5th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Andrew Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Andrew Alvarez’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 19th percentile among all starters.

,Andrew Alvarez has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.44 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.90 — a 0.54 K/9 difference.

,Andrew Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over A.J. Ewing in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Over the last 7 days, A.J. Ewing’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.4 mph to 84.7 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,In the past 14 days, Marcus Semien’s 36.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%.

,Jorbit Vivas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Sporting a 12.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Daylen Lile grades out in the 21st percentile for power.

,The New York Mets have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games,A.J. Ewing’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 15.5% on the season to 8.8% over the last two weeks.

,Posting a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Dylan Crews has performed in the 21st percentile.

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