Mets vs Braves match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, August 12th

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NYM @ ATL

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Mets @ Braves Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, August 12th
Time : 12/08/26 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Truist Park ranks as the #6 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

,Tyler Mahle has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Tyler Mahle will hold that advantage today.

,Tyler Mahle’s cut-fastball usage has risen by 5.1% from last year to this one (12.3% to 17.4%) .

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.

,Carson Benge’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Ozzie Albies is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Zach Thornton.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Carson Benge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Zach Thornton throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an edge today.

,Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in baseball.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Zach Thornton throws from, Sean Murphy will have the upper hand today.

,Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

,Marcus Semien has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph.

,Jared Young is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jared Young will have an edge in today’s game.

,The #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

,Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,It may be smart to expect improved performance for the New York Mets offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Truist Park grades out as the #6 field in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tyler Mahle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as baseball’s 17th-best home run batter.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Lane Thomas’s launch angle in recent games (24.2° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.7° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Bo Bichette’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 12.4% to 17.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 9th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.

,A.J. Ewing is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Drake Baldwin will hold that advantage today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.

,Brett Baty has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.

,Brett Baty has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 96.5-mph over the past week.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Austin Riley will have the handedness advantage over Zach Thornton today.

,Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Mauricio Dubon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Ozzie Albies will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage today.

,Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

,With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Zachary Thornton will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

,Zachary Thornton has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.23 — a 1.05 K/9 disparity.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today’s game.

,Francisco Alvarez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 16.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,When estimating his home run ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.6% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcus Semien’s true offensive skill to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 difference between that mark and his actual .278 wOBA.

,Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Series Game 3 Game Today

Hitting from the same side that Zach Thornton throws from, Drake Baldwin encounters a tough challenge today.

,Drake Baldwin has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Drake Baldwin has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Drake Baldwin’s launch angle of late (3.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 10.1° seasonal angle.

,Zach Thornton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

,Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 46.6% to 39%.

,Matt Olson has been lucky this year, putting up a .377 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .355 — a .022 discrepancy.

,The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Tyler Mahle,Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Francisco Lindor has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 16% to 9.9%.

,Andy Fletcher profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

,Tyler Mahle’s 92.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 13th percentile out of all SPs.

,Tyler Mahle has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.76 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.34 — a 0.42 K/9 discrepancy.

,Among all major league parks, Truist Park’s left field fences are the 3rd-deepest.

,Tyler Mahle will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today’s game.

,Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.1-mph.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Bo Bichette’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carson Benge in today’s matchup.

,Ozzie Albies’s BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 89.3 mph to 82.6 mph.

,Ozzie Albies has recorded a .283 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In notching a .219 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ozzie Albies grades out in the 13th percentile.

,Ha-seong Kim’s BABIP ability is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ha-seong Kim’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 84.7-mph.

,Ha-seong Kim’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 41% to 21.6%.

,A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Ha-seong Kim’s 32.5° mark (8th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

,Ronald Acuna Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 46.9% to 40.3%.

,Sean Murphy is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Sean Murphy’s speed has fallen off this season. His 24.81 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.22 ft/sec now.

,Sean Murphy has posted a .208 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sean Murphy is in the 12th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (39.9% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Marcus Semien is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Tyler Mahle will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien today.

,Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

,Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jared Young in today’s game.

,Jared Young has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 4.2% in the last 14 days.

,Jared Young’s launch angle lately (4.7° over the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 9.2° seasonal mark.

,Jared Young has been lucky this year, compiling a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .028 deviation.

,Lane Thomas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

,Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

,Lane Thomas has compiled a .224 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 10th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Using Statcast metrics, Lane Thomas is in the 3rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .140.

,Checking in at the 20th percentile, Lane Thomas sits with a .223 batting average this year.

,Tyler Mahle performed well in his previous GS and gave up 2 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Polanco in today’s matchup.

,Jorge Polanco’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 90.7-mph average last year has fallen to 85.7-mph.

,Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 42% to 36%.

,Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Mahle throws from, Francisco Alvarez will be in a tough position today.

,Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,In the past week, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 95.7 mph to 87 mph.

,Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Francisco Alvarez has experienced some positive variance given the .017 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

,Bo Bichette’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 87.3-mph over the past week.

,A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 15.3% on the season to 6.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Brett Baty is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Brett Baty has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Baty in today’s game.

,Posting a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brett Baty is positioned in the 7th percentile.

,Brett Baty has posted a .326 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.

,Austin Riley is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

,Sporting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year, Austin Riley has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 13th percentile.

,Austin Riley has recorded a .214 batting average this year, checking in at the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Mauricio Dubon has been lucky this year, notching a .314 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .027 gap.

,With a 1.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Mauricio Dubon finds himself in the 3rd percentile for power.

,Ha-seong Kim and his 7.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 20th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.

,Grading out in the 18th percentile, Ha-seong Kim has put up a .237 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,Ha-seong Kim has compiled a .255 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile.

,Austin Riley has compiled a .287 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zachary Thornton must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary pitches a lot this year: 64% of the time, checking in at the 89th percentile.

,As a team, Atlanta Braves hitters have not performed well when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-worst in the game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Thornton to throw 78 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Posting a .216 batting average this year, Brett Baty grades out in the 14th percentile.

,Marcus Semien’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 107.5 mph this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.8°, Mauricio Dubon has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) over the last two weeks.

,With a .270 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has performed in the 6th percentile for hitting ability.

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