Padres @ Dodgers Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 4 Game Today

When estimating his home run talent, Dalton Rushing ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Dalton Rushing will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 venue in MLB for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 5th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Nick Mahrley) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,In his previous start, JP Sears was rolling and gave up 2 ER.

,JP Sears has gone to his change-up 10% more often this season (25%) than he did last year (15%).

,JP Sears has been unlucky since the start of last season, notching a 5.18 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.89 — a 0.29 deviation.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

,Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Ty France is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Given JP Sears’s large platoon split, Miguel Rojas will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (JP Sears) in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Mookie Betts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Sears has a large platoon split.

,Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Luis Campusano’s footspeed has gotten better this season. His 25.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.81 ft/sec now.

,Miguel Andujar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Batters such as Miguel Andujar with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emmet Sheehan who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,Emmet Sheehan projects as the 19th-best SP in the majors right now when assessing his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Dodger Stadium projects as the #6 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Emmet Sheehan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats today.

,Luis Campusano has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.3° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (84th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Shohei Ohtani has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.9-mph.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Dalton Rushing’s launch angle in recent games (34.9° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 18.8° seasonal mark.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dalton Rushing ranks in the 87th percentile with a 18.8° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the majors.

,Posting a .345 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Dalton Rushing finds himself in the 75th percentile.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Tommy Edman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4.2% rate last year to 9.4% this year.

,Batters such as Xander Bogaerts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emmet Sheehan who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xander Bogaerts’s true offensive ability to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 gap between that figure and his actual .296 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Emmet Sheehan in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Emmet Sheehan will hold that advantage today.

,This season, Ty France has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.7 mph compared to last year’s 90.8 mph mark.

,Over the past 7 days, Ty France’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.5%.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 18th-best batter in the majors.

,Manny Machado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 19.4% over the last two weeks.

,Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side given the .067 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

,Over the last 7 days, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 18.2%.

,Gavin Sheets has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph.

,Teoscar Hernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears today… and even more favorably, Sears has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today’s matchup.

,Jake Cronenworth has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 28.1 ft/sec to 28.62 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,Andy Pages will hold the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sears has a large platoon split.

,Freddie Freeman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Miguel Andujar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 43.8% on the season to 60% over the past 14 days.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Ty France has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.

,In the last 7 days, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 18.2%.

,Kyle Tucker’s launch angle of late (24.9° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 4 Game Today

Dalton Rushing is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

,JP Sears will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dalton Rushing today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Sears’s large platoon split.

,Dalton Rushing pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Dalton Rushing’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.7-mph seasonal average has dropped to 88.7-mph in the past 7 days.

,Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Xander Bogaerts encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

,Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s game.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 46.6% to 37.8%.

,With a .195 BABIP this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 0th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, JP Sears’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense profiles as the strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

,Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the majors for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,JP Sears will have the handedness advantage over Freddie Freeman in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sears’s large platoon split.

,Hitting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Ty France faces a tough challenge today.

,Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Over the last 7 days, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 0%.

,Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

,Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

,Jackson Merrill’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.8-mph in the past two weeks.

,Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Rojas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.5) implies that Miguel Rojas has been lucky since the start of last season with his 13.0 actual HR/600.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 10th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .276.

,Emmet Sheehan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (5°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.6° figure last season.

,In the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.8%.

,Tommy Edman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Tommy Edman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 7.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a .259 BABIP since the start of last season, Tommy Edman is ranked in the 12th percentile.

,The #8 ballpark in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,In notching a .235 BABIP this year, Mookie Betts has performed in the 4th percentile.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Gavin Sheets has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.

,Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

,Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, compiling a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .022 deviation.

,Luis Campusano is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Luis Campusano has been pinch hit for 17% of the time.

,Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage against Luis Campusano in today’s matchup.

,Luis Campusano will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Miguel Andujar has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Miguel Andujar will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Andujar in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Andujar’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 70.7-mph over the last week.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.7% underlying K%.

,Dalton Rushing, the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Emmet Sheehan (38.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in San Diego’s projected offense.

,Emmet Sheehan’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (93.8 mph) below where it was last season (95 mph).

,Kyle Tucker is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Considering JP Sears’s large platoon split, Kyle Tucker will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.4-mph average last season has fallen to 88.3-mph.

,JP Sears will have the handedness advantage against Shohei Ohtani today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Sears’s large platoon split.

,Shohei Ohtani pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Shohei Ohtani has struggled with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has dropped to 16.4% this season.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 100.7-mph average last season has dropped off to 96.9-mph.

,Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 15% to 8.8%.

,By putting up a 11.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth finds himself in the 18th percentile for power.

,Placing in the 15th percentile, the hardest ball Jake Cronenworth has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

,Dodger Stadium profiles as the #23 field in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Andy Pages has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 86.4-mph over the last 14 days.

,Generating 14.5 outs per game per started this year on average, Emmet Sheehan ranks in the 20th percentile.

,The San Diego Padres projected offense profiles as the 5th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

,It may be sensible to expect better results for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,JP Sears will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,JP Sears’s 91.5-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 16th percentile out of all SPs.

,JP Sears’s 2010.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 1st percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,JP Sears has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 7.77 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.21 — a 0.56 K/9 gap.

,By putting up a .233 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth grades out in the 25th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Rojas’s true offensive ability to be a .303, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .022 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .325 wOBA.

Latest Los Angeles Dodgers Matches

• Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Odds MLB – Friday 11th 2026
• Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Cincinati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds MLB – Wednesday 9th 2026
• Reds vs Dodgers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th
• Cincinati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds MLB – Tuesday 8th 2026
• Reds vs Dodgers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, September 8th
• Cincinati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds MLB – Monday 7th 2026
• Reds vs Dodgers match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 7th
• Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds MLB – Sunday 6th 2026

Latest San Diego Padres Matches

• Padres vs Giants match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th
• Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, September 8th
• Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 7th
• Yankees vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 6th
• Yankees vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 5th
• Yankees vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 4th
• Padres vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 2nd
• Padres vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, September 1st
• Padres vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Monday, August 31st

---