Giants @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Francisco Giants Series Game 2 Game Today

In MLB, Petco Park’s centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

,In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

,Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.

,Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 10.8% to 16.2%.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Cronenworth’s true offensive talent to be a .316, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .039 difference between that mark and his actual .277 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Ty France will have an edge today.

,Ty France will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Koss has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .283 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Willy Adames has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher German Marquez is a pitch-to-contact type (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Adames.

,Willy Adames’s launch angle lately (35° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 22.1° seasonal angle.

,Given the 0.81 deviation between Carson Whisenhunt’s 6.69 K/9 and his 7.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in future games.

,Carson Whisenhunt has compiled a 12.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile.

,Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Luis Campusano will have an edge in today’s game.

,Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

,Luis Campusano has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.7-mph.

,Using Statcast metrics, Christian Koss grades out in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .265.

,Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,In the past week, Jung Hoo Lee’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.5% up to 12.5%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

,Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today’s game.

,This season, Luis Arraez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.5 mph compared to last year’s 86 mph mark.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Luis Rengifo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Luis Rengifo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Carson Whisenhunt in today’s matchup.

,Luis Rengifo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Drew Cavanaugh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Drew Cavanaugh will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Heliot Ramos has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.9% rate last year to 14.7% this year.

,Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Heliot Ramos sits with a .339 BABIP this year.

,Jase Bowen will have the handedness advantage against Carson Whisenhunt today.

,Jase Bowen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jase Bowen will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In the last 7 days, Bryce Eldridge’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 25%.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jung Hoo Lee’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Rengifo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 93.2-mph over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Rafael Devers has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 17.8° mark in the past week’s worth of games.

,The San Diego Padres have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,Jase Bowen is remarkably quick, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.4 ft/sec this year.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

,There has been a decrease in Freddy Fermin’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.1 mph last year to 86.4 mph now,Freddy Fermin has posted a .262 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Jake Cronenworth faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Over the last two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,In the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 91.2 mph to 83.2 mph.

,This year, Ty France has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

,Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.

,Ty France has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ty France has been very fortunate given the .047 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,The #6 field in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Over the last week, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle this year (5.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Koss in the 15th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Christian Koss is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Christian Koss will be at a disadvantage today.

,Willy Adames is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage against Willy Adames today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willy Adames in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Willy Adames’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Whisenhunt to throw 85 pitches today (6th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Chris Guccione projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,With 8 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Carson Whisenhunt will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

,Carson Whisenhunt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Carson Whisenhunt struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and compiled 2 Ks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Luis Campusano is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

,When starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season, Luis Campusano has been pulled from the game early 43% of the time.

,Carson Whisenhunt will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Merrill in today’s matchup.

,By putting up a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 18th percentile.

,Luis Campusano’s launch angle recently (8.9° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

,When assessing his home run talent, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jung Hoo Lee in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87 mph to 81.3 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Arraez has had some very good luck given the .045 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (4.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.6° angle last year.

,Grading out in the 16th percentile for power, Fernando Tatis Jr. has averaged 10.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,When estimating his home run skill, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,Drew Cavanaugh is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Drew Cavanaugh today.

,Grading out in the 15th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.8 ft/sec this year, Drew Cavanaugh is not very fast.

,Bryce Eldridge will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Bryce Eldridge’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 97.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 94.7-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryce Eldridge’s true offensive ability to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .022 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .349 wOBA.

,Ranking in the 0th percentile, Manny Machado sits with a .223 BABIP this year.

,German Marquez will have the handedness advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.7% down to 0%.

,Jung Hoo Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 10.7% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jase Bowen in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Jase Bowen is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,This year, Jase Bowen has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 51% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jung Hoo Lee’s true offensive ability to be a .310, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 gap between that figure and his actual .333 wOBA.

,Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 11.2%.

,Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 92.7-mph over the past week.

,Over the last 7 days, Luis Arraez’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-worst park in baseball for base hits.

,Carson Whisenhunt was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and conceded 2 ER.

,Placing 2nd-least steep in Major League Baseball this year, San Diego Padres hitters jointly have compiled a 10.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to study the ability to lift the ball for power).

,Luis Rengifo has notched a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.6°, Xander Bogaerts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.3°) over the past two weeks.

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