Marlins vs Mets match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Friday, July 31st

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MIA @ NYM

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Marlins @ Mets Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, July 31st
Time : 31/07/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Miami Marlins Series Game 2 Game Today

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

,Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today.

,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this season (18°) is a considerable increase over his 10.9° angle last season.

,Jakob Marsee’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 45.5% on the season to 75% in the past 7 days.

,Despite posting a .283 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jakob Marsee has had bad variance on his side given the .025 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

,Liam Hicks is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Liam Hicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today’s game.

,In terms of plate discipline, Liam Hicks’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.02 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 98th percentile.

,By putting up a .279 batting average this year, Liam Hicks has performed in the 87th percentile.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 18th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in this game.

,Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,This season, Xavier Edwards has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.1 mph compared to last year’s 85.6 mph mark.

,Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Marcus Semien has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 86.5-mph average.

,Over the past 14 days, Marcus Semien’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

,Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has experienced some negative variance given the .046 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,A.J. Ewing is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing will hold the platoon advantage over Janson Junk in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,A.J. Ewing will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Carson Benge is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Carson Benge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

,Despite posting a .292 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bo Bichette has had some very poor luck given the .038 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Heriberto Hernandez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last 14 days.

,This season, Heriberto Hernandez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year’s 93.6 mph mark.

,When estimating his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Francisco Alvarez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Francisco Alvarez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the last 14 days.

,As it relates to his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Otto Lopez has posted a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Checking in at the 87th percentile, Otto Lopez sports a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Joe Mack will have an advantage today.

,Joe Mack has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last two weeks.

,Joe Mack has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.3-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.6-mph.

,Grading out in the 86th percentile for power, Joe Mack has paced 30.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Griffin Conine ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today’s game.

,Griffin Conine has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

,Griffin Conine’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 17.6% on the season to 27.3% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Janson Junk.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.

,Despite posting a .191 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Polanco has had some very poor luck given the .130 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

,Posting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jorge Polanco is positioned in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Francisco Lindor has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today.

,Over the last week, Kyle Stowers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 25%.

,In the last 7 days, Carson Benge’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 16.7%.

,It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Brennan Miller) behind the plate today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 9th-best park in the league for strikeouts.

,By putting up a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jakob Marsee is positioned in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Luis Robert Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season’s 93.8-mph average.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ranking in the 87th percentile, Otto Lopez has posted a .481 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Freddy Peralta in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Freddy Peralta has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starter.

,The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Griffin Conine, Heriberto Hernandez, Kyle Stowers).

,Griffin Conine has recorded a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a 27.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jorge Polanco finds himself in the 81st percentile for power.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Over the last 7 days, Xavier Edwards’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

,Liam Hicks has posted a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Negatives with the New York Mets Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jakob Marsee in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,Citi Field profiles as the #27 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

,Jakob Marsee will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 4th-worst stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.

,Liam Hicks will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Liam Hicks’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 85.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.2-mph over the past week.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards today.

,Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.6-mph in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards’s true offensive skill to be a .317, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .022 disparity between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Marcus Semien is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Citi Field projects as the #27 park in the league for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Marcus Semien has a tough challenge today.

,Over the past two weeks, A.J. Ewing’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

,A.J. Ewing’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.8-mph over the last 14 days.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.5°, A.J. Ewing has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.6°) over the last 14 days.

,Carson Benge has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past two weeks.

,Carson Benge’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 15.5% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Bo Bichette encounters a tough challenge today.

,In the past two weeks, Bo Bichette’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

,In the past 14 days, Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.2 mph to 74 mph.

,Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Heriberto Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,The #4 park in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage over Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez today.

,Otto Lopez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Joe Mack is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Joe Mack has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time.

,Joe Mack will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Griffin Conine is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Griffin Conine has been pulled from the game early 31% of the time.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Griffin Conine today.

,Jorge Polanco has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Jorge Polanco’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.7-mph mark last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Jorge Polanco’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 77.2 mph.

,Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 12.5% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,This year, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.5 mph (a reliable standard to measure power), ranking in the 10th percentile.

,Marcus Semien has recorded a .276 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

,The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his weak side (0) today against Janson Junk,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 16% to 9.6%.

,Joe Mack’s launch angle lately (6.5° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.4° seasonal figure.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Stowers has shown bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.32 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Janson Junk in the 17th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Janson Junk to throw 85 pitches in this game (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Janson Junk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Janson Junk has utilized his slider 7.5% less often this season (35%) than he did last year (42.5%).

,Given the 0.32 gap between Janson Junk’s 6.96 K/9 and his 6.64 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.

,Griffin Conine has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 14.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

,There has been a decrease in Jakob Marsee’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.9 mph last year to 86.7 mph now,Over the last 14 days, Jakob Marsee’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

,Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 8.8% on the season to 0% over the last week.

,Luis Robert Jr. has posted a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile.

,Otto Lopez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 83-mph over the last 7 days.

,With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Freddy Peralta will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,Freddy Peralta’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (53.4% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 25th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.5°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.7°) in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,With a .361 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Luis Robert Jr. is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.1°, Liam Hicks has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the last two weeks.

,Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 12.5%.

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