Braves @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Atlanta Braves Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,In MLB, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

,Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jorge Mateo has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 29.33 ft/sec to 30.4 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,Among all major league parks, Petco Park’s centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Rodolfo Duran will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Rodolfo Duran has been hot recently, posting a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the past week’s worth of games.

,The standard deviation of Rodolfo Duran’s launch angle has been very consistent lately (30.5° in the past 7 days), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Sporting a .290 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ty France finds himself in the 94th percentile.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

,Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over German Marquez in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Austin Riley has been hot recently, posting a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the last 7 days.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Austin Riley’s maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 110.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Michael Harris II is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today’s game.

,Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,By putting up a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Xander Bogaerts finds himself in the 78th percentile.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot recently, notching a a 13.2% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over JR Ritchie in today’s matchup.

,Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that JR Ritchie throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Gavin Sheets has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors in the past week’s worth of games — 109.3-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

,Drake Baldwin has posted a .285 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Samad Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.41 ft/sec this year, Samad Taylor is quite toolsy.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Manny Machado has displayed impressive power, recording a a 21.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

,Samad Taylor’s BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Petco Park ranks as the #10 venue in the game for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ozzie Albies has been hot in recent games, notching a 92.9-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Smith in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez in today’s matchup.

,Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Posting a .276 batting average this year, Dominic Smith has performed in the 79th percentile.

,Michael Harris II has been hot recently, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 10th-best park in MLB for left-handed home runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today’s game.

,Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage over German Marquez today.

,Compiling a 92.9-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Mike Yastrzemski has been in great form in recent games.

,Will Wagner will hold the platoon advantage against JR Ritchie in today’s game.

,Will Wagner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Will Wagner will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Will Wagner has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .231 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Dan Merzel grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

,Petco Park profiles as the #28 field in MLB for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,JR Ritchie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.

,JR Ritchie turned in a great performance in his last start and conceded 2 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for strikeouts.

,Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Matt Olson has been hot lately, putting up a a 13% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

Jorge Mateo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Petco Park grades out as the #25 ballpark in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

,German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage over Jorge Mateo today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rodolfo Duran in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Rodolfo Duran is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Petco Park profiles as the #28 stadium in the majors for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,JR Ritchie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s matchup.

,Ty France has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The #4 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,The San Diego Padres outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today.

,Drake Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Austin Riley is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

,Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

,Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the same side that JR Ritchie throws from, Xander Bogaerts faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts has been cold in recent games, posting an 81-mph average exit velocity in the last week’s worth of games.

,JR Ritchie will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

,Over the past 14 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 7.9% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,By putting up a .213 batting average this year, Jackson Merrill grades out in the 18th percentile.

,Mauricio Dubon’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,German Marquez will have the handedness advantage against Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.

,JR Ritchie will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rodolfo Duran in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,Petco Park projects as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When assessing his home run skill, Samad Taylor ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Samad Taylor is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that JR Ritchie throws from, Samad Taylor will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,JR Ritchie will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today.

,Manny Machado’s quickness has dropped off this season. His 25.77 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.86 ft/sec now.

,Ty France has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Samad Taylor has been cold of late, notching a 82.5-mph average exit velocity in the last 14 days.

,Ozzie Albies’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side against German Marquez in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Mateo today.

,Dominic Smith is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,In the last 7 days, Matt Olson has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 83-mph on his flyballs.

,Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Will Wagner is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Will Wagner has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the past 7 days.

,Power-wise, Fernando Tatis Jr. grades out in the 5th percentile, having paced 3.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s matchup.

,Today, Mike Yastrzemski is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (85th percentile).

,Extreme groundball bats like Mike Yastrzemski are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez.

,It may be smart to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,JR Ritchie will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Given the 1.55 difference between JR Ritchie’s 4.54 ERA and his 6.09 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year and ought to see negative regression going forward.

,In the last two weeks, Manny Machado’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 5.4% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,Matt Olson has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last 7 days.

,Gavin Sheets has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) in the past week.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Gavin Sheets’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 7.1% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,Will Wagner’s quickness has fallen off this year. His 26.93 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.66 ft/sec now.

,Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like German Marquez.

,Notching a 4.7° launch angle over the past 14 days suggests that Michael Harris II has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.

,Dominic Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,In the last 7 days, Dominic Smith has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power).

,In the last week, Xander Bogaerts’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

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