Padres vs Phillies match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 4th

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SD @ PHI

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Padres @ Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, June 4th
Time : 04/06/26 13:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his BABIP ability, Justin Crawford is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

,Justin Crawford will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Miguel Andujar is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Miguel Andujar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito today.

,Bryson Stott has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Zack Wheeler projects as the 18th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently when estimating his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Zack Wheeler has averaged 92.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

,Vic Carapazza projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,Because of his large platoon split, Zack Wheeler will benefit from facing 6 batters in the projected lineup who share his handedness in this game.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Zack Wheeler will hold that advantage today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors.

,Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Harper has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 9th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now.

,Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Because of Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB’s 2nd-best home run batter.

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito today.

,Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Lucas Giolito doesn’t generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

,Compared to average, Lucas Giolito has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an extra 3.5 adjusted pitches each game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alec Bohm ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today

Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner today.

,The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

,Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Given Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Miguel Andujar will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miguel Andujar in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge today.

,Bryson Stott is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 21.1% underlying K%.

,J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Because of Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Freddy Fermin will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddy Fermin today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jase Bowen in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Jase Bowen is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Because of Zack Wheeler’s large platoon split, Jase Bowen will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jase Bowen today.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Schwarber usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Lucas Giolito in the 8th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

,The Philadelphia Phillies projected offense projects as the 3rd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

,Lucas Giolito will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

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