SD @ LAD






Padres @ Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, July 3rd
Time : 03/07/26 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today
Dodger Stadium has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddy Fermin’s true offensive talent to be a .283, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .049 difference between that figure and his actual .234 wOBA.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.
,Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league stadiums.
,Despite posting a .297 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball.
,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB home runs.
,Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage today.
,Kyle Tucker will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
,Ty France is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
,Ty France has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 19% in the past 14 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
,Andy Pages is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.
,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 38.8% to 49.2%.
,Manny Machado has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week.
,Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, posting a .289 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .051 gap.
,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order ranks as the best of the day in terms of overall offensive ability.
,Tripp Gibson projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.
,The #3 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
,In the past 7 days, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 20%.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Kyle Tucker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.2° mark in the last two weeks.
,This season, Ty France has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.9 mph compared to last year’s 90.8 mph mark.
,In the last 14 days, Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph recently.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,Mookie Betts is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
,Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Mookie Betts will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
,Mookie Betts has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 94.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
,Michael King has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.
,Dodger Stadium projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Considering the 0.86 deviation between Michael King’s 7.75 K/9 and his 8.62 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should positively regress in future games.
,Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
,Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage against Shohei Ohtani today.
,Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94-mph.
,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
,Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Max Muncy has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.2° figure in the past 7 days.
,Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Teoscar Hernandez has hit 38.5% of his balls in the air 100 mph or greater this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dalton Rushing in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Dalton Rushing will have the upper hand today.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dalton Rushing will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Tommy Edman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 25%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
,Hitting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s game.
,Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side given the .063 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.
,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jackson Merrill grades out in the 94th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .290.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
,Tommy Edman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 93.4-mph in the last week.
,In the last week, Tommy Edman’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.4%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shohei Ohtani as the 4th-best pitcher in the game currently.
,Shohei Ohtani has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.
,With 6 batters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Shohei Ohtani figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
,Shohei Ohtani will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
,Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
,Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.
,Jake Cronenworth’s speed has improved this season. His 28.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.67 ft/sec now.
,Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky this year, compiling a .221 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .096 gap.
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 18th-best batter in MLB.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 92-mph figure.
,Over the past week, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.6%.
,Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage today.
,Freddie Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Samad Taylor’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Xander Bogaerts has recorded a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Xander Bogaerts has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.
,Shohei Ohtani projects as the 12th-best pitcher in the league right now when assessing his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Over the last 7 days, Dalton Rushing’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 22.2%.
,Dalton Rushing’s launch angle in recent games (38° in the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 19° seasonal mark.
,This year, Dalton Rushing’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 88th percentile at 95.5 mph.
,Placing in the 83rd percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Teoscar Hernandez demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a core skill for achieving a high batting average.
,Teoscar Hernandez is remarkably athletic, placing in the 81st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Shohei Ohtani will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 105.6-mph in recent games.
,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Andy Pages has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.
,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 2 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
,Freddy Fermin has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
,The #8 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
,This contest is predicted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
,Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Batting from the same side that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be in a tough position in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.
,In the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.
,Shohei Ohtani pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
,Shohei Ohtani has struggled with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last season has fallen to 16.9% this year.
,From last season to this one, Shohei Ohtani’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 100.7 mph to 97.1 mph.
,Kyle Tucker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.
,In today’s matchup, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36% rate (86th percentile).
,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.
,Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph average last year has decreased to 88.4-mph.
,Hitting from the same side that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Ty France will have a tough challenge today.
,In today’s game, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (88th percentile).
,Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ty France’s true offensive talent to be a .319, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .035 disparity between that figure and his actual .354 wOBA.
,Michael King will have the handedness advantage over Andy Pages in today’s matchup.
,Shohei Ohtani will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s matchup.
,Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Freddie Freeman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.
,In the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.8 mph to 89.3 mph.
,Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
,Michael King will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.
,Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
,From last season to this one, Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.6% to 37.4%.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Michael King’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 81st percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league right now.
,In his last start, Michael King performed well and conceded 0 ER.
,Michael King’s change-up usage has jumped by 5.1% from last season to this one (21.4% to 26.5%) .
,The #8 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
,Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Mookie Betts today.
,Checking in at the 5th percentile, Mookie Betts sports a .235 BABIP this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Hitting from the same side that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Freddy Fermin meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
,The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in this matchup.
,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael King today.
,Michael King’s 92.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 14th percentile among all starters.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,14% of the time that Gavin Sheets has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
,Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Sheets in today’s matchup.
,Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
,Max Muncy has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 86.8-mph in the last 7 days.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Samad Taylor ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Samad Taylor is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
,Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Samad Taylor in today’s matchup.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Samad Taylor in today’s matchup.
,Dalton Rushing is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
,When starting against a northpaw this year, Dalton Rushing has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.
,Dalton Rushing pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dalton Rushing’s true offensive ability to be a .317, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .345 wOBA.
,Tommy Edman is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Michael King,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (7.8) provides evidence that Tommy Edman has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 20.0 actual HR/600.
,Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
,Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Over the last week, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.
,Max Muncy’s launch angle this season (14.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 19.8° angle last season.
,The San Diego Padres have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Projected catcher Dalton Rushing profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle this season (5.7°) is considerably lower than his 14.5° figure last season.
,Sporting a .233 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth grades out in the 25th percentile.
,Jake Cronenworth has performed at a clip of 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jake Cronenworth has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph (an advanced stat to measure power), checking in at the 16th percentile.
,Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.
,There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 9.6° to 4.5° this year.
,In the past 7 days, Jackson Merrill’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 95 mph to 82.3 mph.
,Fernando Tatis Jr. has paced 7.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 14th percentile for power.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Manny Machado’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.4%.
,Despite posting a .375 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Max Muncy has experienced some positive variance given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 20.6% underlying K%.
,Gavin Sheets’s launch angle recently (-2° in the last week) is quite a bit worse than his 15.7° seasonal figure.
,Shohei Ohtani was on point in his previous game started and conceded 0 ER.
,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 10.8% on the season to 6.7% over the last week.
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