Padres vs Guardians match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 16th

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SD @ CLE

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Padres @ Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : San Diego Padres at Cleveland Guardians
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 16th
Time : 16/08/26 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed BABIP.

,Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

,This game is expected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Genao in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best field in the league for righty base hits.

,In the past two weeks, Luis Campusano’s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.1%.

,Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Travis Bazzana will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best batter in the game when estimating his batting average skill.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Luis Rengifo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 5.9°, Luis Rengifo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.8° figure in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field’s LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Recording 92.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Tanner Bibee falls in the 83rd percentile.

,Patrick Bailey, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Tanner Bibee will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,San Diego’s 10.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year: #29 overall.

,Angel Genao will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Travis Bazzana will hold that advantage today.

,Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jo Adell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Casey Mize.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 12th-best batter in the game.

,Tanner Bibee was firing on all cylinders in his last start and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

,Given the 0.73 discrepancy between Tanner Bibee’s 7.11 K/9 and his 7.84 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform better the rest of the season.

,Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ty France is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Putting up a 93.2-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Angel Genao has been in great form in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph.

,In his last start, Casey Mize was firing on all cylinders and accumulated 9 strikeouts.

,Casey Mize’s slider rate has risen by 11.3% from last season to this one (15.3% to 26.6%) .

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,In the last two weeks, Luis Campusano’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 11.1%.

,Steven Kwan will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Casey Mize in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

,Casey Mize was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and allowed 1 ER.

,Considering the 0.36 discrepancy between Casey Mize’s 3.37 ERA and his 3.01 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and ought to perform better going forward.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Patrick Bailey has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season’s 88.3-mph mark.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Sheets in today’s game.

,Gavin Sheets has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 80.3-mph over the past week.

,Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 38.8% on the season to 25% over the past week.

,Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.3-mph EV last season has fallen to 83.5-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Steven Kwan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.8°) in the last 14 days.

,The league’s 4th-tallest average fence height can be found at Progressive Field.

,In the past two weeks, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,In the last 14 days, Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 89.4 mph to 81.5 mph.

,In the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

,With a .239 BABIP this year, Jose Ramirez is positioned in the 5th percentile.

,Angel Genao is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,The 7th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Progressive Field.

,Angel Genao has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) over the last week.

,Angel Genao has struggled to lift the ball lately, putting up a -11° launch angle in the last 7 days.

,Luis Campusano is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Campusano today.

,Today, Luis Campusano is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (93rd percentile).

,Luis Campusano will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Travis Bazzana has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

,Travis Bazzana hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.

,Tanner Bibee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (5.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.6° mark last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #3 park in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Tanner Bibee,When it comes to his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Posting a 1.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Steven Kwan is positioned in the 4th percentile for power.

,Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s game.

,Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.9-mph figure last season has fallen to 90.8-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.3°, Manny Machado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) in the last 14 days.

,It may be best to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Todd Tichenor) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,The #2 park in the league for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

,Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle this season (9.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.5° mark last year.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°, Jake Cronenworth has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.3°) over the last two weeks.

,In the past 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,With a 3.77 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 14th percentile.

,This year, Nathaniel Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Nathaniel Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

,Nathaniel Lowe’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 82.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .032 difference.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 14th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .285.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Rengifo in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jo Adell meets a tough challenge today.

,Over the last two weeks, Jo Adell’s 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.1%.

,With a 5.45 K/BB rate this year, Jo Adell has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 2nd percentile.

,By putting up a .274 BABIP this year, Jo Adell is positioned in the 25th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 16th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,11% of the time that Patrick Bailey has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

,Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts’s launch angle this season (5.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.3° mark last year.

,The #3 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 19.8% underlying K%.

,Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Ty France will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 17.5% on the season to 8.3% over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ty France’s true offensive skill to be a .323, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .048 deviation between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.

,Luis Rengifo’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.5-mph in the past 14 days.

,Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 11.7%.

,When estimating his home run skill, Angel Genao ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 19.2% underlying K%.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 5.9°, Xander Bogaerts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) over the past two weeks.

,Chase DeLauter’s launch angle recently (-5.4° in the past week) is quite a bit lower than his 12.3° seasonal figure.

,Chase DeLauter has been lucky this year, notching a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .027 gap.

,Jake Cronenworth has recorded a .233 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The Cleveland Guardians have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,Luis Campusano has been lucky this year, notching a .401 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .093 deviation.

,Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Manny Machado sports a .228 BABIP this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Patrick Bailey is in the 2nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .250.

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