Padres @ D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Chase Field projects as the #4 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

,Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Nolan Arenado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 89.3-mph.

,Ryan Waldschmidt’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chase Field ranks as the #3 venue in the game for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

,Ryan Waldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Compared to the average pitcher, Eduardo Rodriguez has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 4.1 adjusted pitches each outing.

,Paul Clemons projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in this game.

,Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

,Eduardo Rodriguez has gone to his change-up 6.3% more often this season (26.7%) than he did last year (20.4%).

,Eduardo Rodriguez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.06 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.18 — a 1.12 K/9 difference.

,It may be best to expect stronger performance for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,The #2 park in MLB for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,With a 2.21 discrepancy between Eduardo Rodriguez’s 2.48 ERA and his 4.69 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year and should perform worse going forward.

,Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Freddy Fermin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

,Freddy Fermin has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.

,Freddy Fermin has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 88.6-mph.

,Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 16.7% on the season to 20% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Luis Campusano will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

,Luis Campusano has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 92.4-mph over the past week.

,Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Randy Vasquez.

,Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s launch angle recently (18.4° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.4° seasonal angle.

,Ryan Waldschmidt has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.7-mph.

,Ryan Waldschmidt’s launch angle of late (30° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 17.6° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Ketel Marte is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Gabriel Moreno will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Gabriel Moreno has put up a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Ty France is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Max Kepler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xander Bogaerts’s true offensive talent to be a .328, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .041 deviation between that mark and his actual .287 wOBA.

,Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jase Bowen will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.42 ft/sec this year, Jase Bowen is remarkably fast.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tim Tawa will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Tim Tawa has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 91.5-mph in the past two weeks.

,There has been a significant improvement in Tim Tawa’s launch angle from last season’s 7.5° to 11.8° this year.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Luis Rengifo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez.

,Over the past two weeks, Luis Rengifo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Manny Machado has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 18.9% over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,In terms of plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.53 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 86th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Randy Vasquez’s overall pitching talent is in the 10th percentile among all starters in the majors right now.

,It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

,Randy Vasquez was firing on all cylinders in his last start and notched 8 strikeouts.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez today.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Among all parks, Chase Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

,The league’s 10th-tallest fences can be found at Chase Field.

,Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Nolan Arenado faces a tough challenge today.

,Nolan Arenado’s launch angle of late (1.8° in the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 17.6° seasonal angle.

,Ryan Waldschmidt is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Randy Vasquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Waldschmidt in today’s matchup.

,Ryan Waldschmidt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Ryan Waldschmidt has been lucky this year, posting a .324 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .026 gap.

,This year, Ryan Waldschmidt’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 21st percentile at 88.7 mph.

,The #2 venue in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

,Out of all SPs, Eduardo Rodriguez’s fastball velocity of 91.4 mph is in the 9th percentile this year.

,Placing in the 11th percentile, Eduardo Rodriguez put up an 8.4% Swinging Strike% this year.

,Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

,Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Merrill in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Merrill has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 18th percentile with a 3.66 K/BB rate.

,Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-worst park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

,Luis Campusano is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Luis Campusano has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 38% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.

,Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,When estimating his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chase Field profiles as the #24 venue in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Over the past week, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.3 mph.

,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 20.2% to 14.2%.

,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Randy Vasquez,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Ketel Marte has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 81.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,In the past two weeks, Ketel Marte’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.7%.

,Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Gabriel Moreno encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.7% rate (99th percentile).

,10% of the time that Ty France has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,In today’s matchup, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (84th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ty France in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .377 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ty France has been lucky given the .052 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Over the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 94.9 mph to 88.4 mph.

,Max Kepler’s BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,This year, Max Kepler has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Posting a .236 BABIP since the start of last season, Max Kepler is ranked in the 2nd percentile.

,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Corbin Carroll grades out in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (37.9% rate this year).

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado today.

,Manny Machado has posted a .220 BABIP this year, grading out in the 1st percentile.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jase Bowen ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jase Bowen is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jase Bowen has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 53% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

,Jase Bowen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Tim Tawa is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Tim Tawa will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Rengifo today.

,Luis Rengifo’s launch angle this year (4.4°) is significantly lower than his 7.4° figure last season.

,Using Statcast data, Luis Rengifo grades out in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.

,Arizona’s #3-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Fernando Tatis Jr., who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Xander Bogaerts has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

,When assessing his home run ability, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ketel Marte has posted a .252 BABIP this year, checking in at the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Tim Tawa’s BABIP ability is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tim Tawa’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 39.8% on the season to 18.2% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Luis Campusano will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Randy Vasquez was on point in his last game started and gave up 0 ER.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Randy Vasquez’s fastball spin rate of 2431 rpm grades out in the 79th percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Vasquez in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Randy Vasquez to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 70 pitches.

,Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year, notching a .324 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .024 disparity.

,Over the last two weeks, Max Kepler’s 10.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,By putting up a .250 BABIP this year, Geraldo Perdomo has performed in the 9th percentile.

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