Astros vs Orioles match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles

|
Astros vs Orioles match player stats Thursday, August 22nd 2024. Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles

HOU @ BAL

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Astros vs OriolesAstros vs OriolesAstros vs OriolesAstros vs OriolesAstros vs OriolesAstros vs Orioles

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Orioles

Chas McCormick’s BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.

Chas McCormick has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Chas McCormick has had bad variance on his side this year. His .197 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .219.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today.

Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences today.

Adley Rutschman will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this season (18.7°) is considerably better than his 12.5° figure last season.

Ramon Urias has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Ramon Urias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti.

Ramon Urias will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ramon Urias has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Colton Cowser will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Corbin Burnes’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 93rd percentile among all starters in the majors right now.

Tallying 94.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Corbin Burnes places in the 88th percentile.

Projected catcher Adley Rutschman projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #29 field in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field fences in MLB.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in MLB for righty base hits.

Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Chas McCormick has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .061 gap.

Jake Meyers’s BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to last season, Jake Meyers has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40% to 47.2% this season.

Jake Meyers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .228 mark is a good deal lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Hitters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today’s matchup.

Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Spencer Arrighetti in the 88th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Victor Caratini (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Spencer Arrighetti has recorded a 12.4% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has recorded a 27% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

As it relates to his home run skill, Anthony Santander ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences today.

Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 16th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Yainer Diaz has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 92.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Mauricio Dubon’s launch angle this season (14.2°) is a significant increase over his 9.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Jeremy Pena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.

Jeremy Pena has posted a .281 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ramon Urias has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

Spencer Arrighetti is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #24 HR venue in MLB today.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 85th percentile among all starters in the league.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Corbin Burnes will hold that advantage today.

In his previous GS, Corbin Burnes was on point and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Alex Bregman has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle this season (23.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 20° mark last year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.337) may lead us to conclude that Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck this year with his .296 actual wOBA.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Orioles

Chas McCormick is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Chas McCormick has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Among all major league stadiums, the 9th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Corbin Burnes will hold the platoon advantage over Chas McCormick in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Ryan Mountcastle faces a tough challenge today.

Ryan Mountcastle has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #28 venue in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Gunnar Henderson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.9) implies that Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate this year with his 35.2 actual HR/600.

Adley Rutschman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Spencer Arrighetti, Over the last 14 days, Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.1 mph to 83.6 mph.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 43.5% to 34.3%.

In today’s matchup, Colton Cowser is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (83rd percentile).

In the last week, Colton Cowser’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.8% down to 5.9%.

Colton Cowser’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Corbin Burnes allowed a staggering 8 earned runs in his last outing.

Corbin Burnes has used his cutter 12% less often this season (43.4%) than he did last year (55.4%).

Given the 0.53 difference between Corbin Burnes’s 3.10 ERA and his 3.63 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should negatively regress going forward.

Collectively, Houston Astros hitters have performed well when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-best in the league.

Corbin Burnes will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today.

Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alex Bregman today.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jake Meyers will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Jackson Holliday has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Jackson Holliday’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.9% down to 0%.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Yordan Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.1% down to 0%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.7 mph to 85 mph.

Ryan Mountcastle’s launch angle lately (7.5° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.9° seasonal mark.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Spencer Arrighetti is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Spencer Arrighetti will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Spencer Arrighetti (36.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Baltimore’s projected lineup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Spencer Arrighetti, Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti.

Anthony Santander has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 83.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Corbin Burnes will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

From last year to this one, Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21.6% to 11.4%.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 11.4% on the season to 7.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Corbin Burnes will hold the platoon advantage over Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.

Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.2°, Mauricio Dubon has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 15th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.3) provides evidence that Ramon Urias has been lucky this year with his 20.3 actual HR/600.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Baltimore Orioles projected offense profiles as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Houston Astros with a 20.6% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, putting up a .394 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .365 — a .029 discrepancy.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ramon Urias has experienced some positive variance this year. His .317 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.

Chas McCormick will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Anthony Santander’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.1%.

Jackson Holliday’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 96-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 92-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jackson Holliday’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22.6%.

Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 43.4% on the season to 36.4% in the past week.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.4-mph over the last 14 days.

Alex Bregman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Latest Houston Astros Match Player Stats

Latest Baltimore Orioles Match Player Stats