Mets vs Blue Jays match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 1st

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NYM @ TOR

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Mets @ Blue Jays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 1st
Time : 01/07/26 15:07:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets Series Game 3 Game Today

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

,The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

,Yohendrick Pinango will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta today.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #5 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

,Freddy Peralta has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Luis Torrens (the Mets’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

,The #4 field in the league for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

,In his last outing, Freddy Peralta performed well and put up 7 strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

,As it relates to his BABIP ability, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Jared Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braydon Fisher in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Braydon Fisher throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Brett Baty has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball.

,Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Braydon Fisher throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Francisco Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.4% up to 25%.

,Over the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph recently.

,Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bo Bichette ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,A.J. Ewing will have the handedness advantage over Braydon Fisher in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Toronto Blue Jays offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 5th-best field in the league for home runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Braydon Fisher will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Braydon Fisher’s 94.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 76th percentile among all SPs.

,Braydon Fisher’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (68.6% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,Placing in the 92nd percentile, Braydon Fisher has posted a 28% Strikeout% since the start of last season.

,Yohendrick Pinango will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Carson Benge ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3 Game Today

Yohendrick Pinango has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,24% of the time that Yohendrick Pinango has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Among all major league parks, the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Rogers Centre.

,Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yohendrick Pinango has been very fortunate given the .039 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Yohendrick Pinango ranks in just the 22nd percentile with a 9.3° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

,Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Braydon Fisher throws from, Francisco Alvarez will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Francisco Alvarez’s ability is quite poor, posting a 3.33 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 22nd percentile.

,Braydon Fisher will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

,Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,Over the past week, Andres Gimenez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

,Sporting a .285 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Andres Gimenez has performed in the 14th percentile for hitting ability.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.3% underlying K%.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddy Peralta in today’s matchup.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Freddy Peralta has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 52.8% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

,Nathan Lukes has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Rogers Centre projects as the #24 park in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nathan Lukes’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.7-mph EV last year has dropped off to 86.9-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathan Lukes’s true offensive talent to be a .305, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .042 disparity between that figure and his actual .347 wOBA.

,A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the past 7 days, A.J. Ewing’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.5%.

,Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes A.J. Ewing has had positive variance on his side given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Daulton Varsho is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,There has been a decrease in Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.5 mph last year to 86 mph now,Freddy Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today’s game.

,George Springer has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.

,George Springer’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has decreased to 80.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,George Springer has compiled a .251 BABIP this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Young in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,This year, Jared Young has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 36% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Jared Young will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Despite posting a .327 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jared Young has experienced some positive variance given the .023 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

,Brett Baty is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

,Brett Baty has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,Brett Baty will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Brett Baty has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 84.6-mph over the past 14 days.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto today.

,Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.7-mph average last season has dropped to 96.1-mph.

,The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Braydon Fisher,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 16% to 9.3%.

,Rogers Centre projects as the #24 venue in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When it comes to his home runs, Jared Young has been lucky since the start of last season. His 36.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.5.

,When assessing his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ernie Clement has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Despite posting a .327 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ernie Clement has been lucky given the .033 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.

,By putting up a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andres Gimenez has performed in the 24th percentile.

,Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Alejandro Kirk will be in a tough position today.

,Alejandro Kirk’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has lowered to 85.1-mph.

,Alejandro Kirk’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 85.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.2-mph over the past two weeks.

,Alejandro Kirk’s launch angle of late (-6.3° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 7.5° seasonal mark.

,Ernie Clement has recorded a .293 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Freddy Peralta’s overall pitching talent is in the 82nd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

,Freddy Peralta’s 2416-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 76th percentile out of all SPs.

,Freddy Peralta has been unlucky this year, notching a 4.53 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.03 — a 0.5 deviation.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ernie Clement is in the 9th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.200.

,Carson Benge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Carson Benge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

,Carson Benge’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86.8-mph over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Braydon Fisher to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.

,Braydon Fisher has posted a 5.7% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing in the 17th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.5°, A.J. Ewing has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.7°) over the past 14 days.

,When assessing his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,From last year to this one, Nathan Lukes’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.9% to 12%.

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