Mets vs Guardians match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, August 6th

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NYM @ CLE

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Mets @ Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, August 6th
Time : 06/08/26 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets Series Game 3 Game Today

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

,Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Austin Hedges will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Angel Martinez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Angel Martinez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nolan McLean as the 18th-best SP in MLB right now.

,Compared to the average starter, Nolan McLean has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 3.6 adjusted pitches each outing.

,The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

,John Bacon projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.

,Luis Torrens, the Mets’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Progressive Field projects as the #3 park in the game for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Luis Torrens will have the handedness advantage against Foster Griffin today.

,Luis Torrens has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,In notching a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Torrens finds himself in the 91st percentile for hitting ability.

,Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Steven Kwan has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Foster Griffin today.

,When assessing his home run skill, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Luis Robert Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Foster Griffin in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Chase DeLauter is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Chase DeLauter will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage against Foster Griffin in today’s game.

,Cristian Pache has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Nolan McLean in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Patrick Bailey has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year’s 90.4-mph average.

,Patrick Bailey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.1-mph.

,Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16% on the season to 22.2% in the last two weeks.

,Petey Halpin will have the handedness advantage against Nolan McLean in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Petey Halpin will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Petey Halpin’s 21.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

,The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,The New York Mets have 8 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Foster Griffin in this game.

,Among all starters, Foster Griffin’s fastball velocity of 87.8 mph ranks in the 1st percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jo Adell is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jo Adell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Nathaniel Lowe has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Foster Griffin today.

,Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home runs, Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 11.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.4.

,Travis Bazzana is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Travis Bazzana will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean in today’s game.

,Travis Bazzana will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Brayan Rocchio pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Brayan Rocchio will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Angel Genao pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Angel Genao will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Jared Young is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Jared Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 97.1-mph in the past 14 days.

,Foster Griffin has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

,Foster Griffin will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nolan McLean in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Angel Martinez has posted a .302 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Genao in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Foster Griffin in today’s game.

,As it relates to his BABIP ability, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,A.J. Ewing has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Marcus Semien will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Marcus Semien’s launch angle recently (37.8° over the last week) is significantly better than his 18.6° seasonal mark.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Robert Jr.’s true offensive ability to be a .323, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .056 deviation between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jo Adell has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Based on Statcast metrics, Jared Young grades out in the 91st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.500.

,Extreme groundball batters like Jose Ramirez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nolan McLean.

,Placing in the 80th percentile, Austin Hedges sports a .266 batting average this year.

,Francisco Alvarez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 17% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last two weeks.

,Marcus Semien has been unlucky this year, notching a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .045 deviation.

,Steven Kwan will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Chase DeLauter has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Travis Bazzana has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 93.3-mph over the past 7 days.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Series Game 3 Game Today

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Austin Hedges ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Austin Hedges is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Austin Hedges has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,Progressive Field profiles as the #26 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all major league stadiums, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

,This game is projected to have the 9th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Nolan McLean in this game.

,Angel Martinez has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 14 days.

,In the last 14 days, Angel Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.4 mph to 82.4 mph.

,The Cleveland Guardians have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Progressive Field grades out as the #4 park in the majors for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all stadiums, Progressive Field’s left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

,With 9 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Nolan McLean will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan McLean today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 17th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Luis Torrens is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 86.3-mph EV last year has decreased to 83.3-mph.

,Steven Kwan’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 84.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 81.2-mph in the last two weeks.

,Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Eric Wagaman has been pinch hit for 45% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.

,Today, Eric Wagaman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

,Luis Robert Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.3-mph in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Chase DeLauter’s true offensive ability to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .019 gap between that figure and his actual .346 wOBA.

,Chase DeLauter grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (12.5% rate this year).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristian Pache in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Cristian Pache is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 18th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,This year, Patrick Bailey has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,The 7th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Progressive Field.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Petey Halpin ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Petey Halpin is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Petey Halpin has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

,The New York Mets projected lineup grades out as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

,Patrick Bailey, the Guardians’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Nathaniel Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Nathaniel Lowe has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

,Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .034 difference.

,Nolan McLean will have the handedness advantage against Jo Adell in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Jo Adell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

,Jo Adell’s launch angle of late (-24° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 16.5° seasonal angle.

,Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 16% to 9.3%.

,Travis Bazzana hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Over the past 14 days, Travis Bazzana has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Over the last week, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 88.9 mph to 84.5 mph.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Jo Adell’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 6.05 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 2nd percentile.

,Foster Griffin will have the handedness advantage over Carson Benge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carson Benge in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run skill, Angel Genao ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Angel Genao is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Angel Martinez is in the 4th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .259.

,Hitting from the same side that Foster Griffin throws from, Jared Young will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jared Young has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days.

,Foster Griffin’s 2094-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 12th percentile among all starters.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 20% underlying K%.

,Nolan McLean’s high usage percentage of his fastball (53.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Genao will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Nolan McLean in today’s matchup.

,Typically, batters like Angel Genao who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Nolan McLean.

,Luis Torrens will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Luis Torrens has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.8% rate last season has decreased to 3.5% this season.

,Francisco Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

,Francisco Alvarez’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.1-mph mark last year has decreased to 90.1-mph.

,Foster Griffin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against A.J. Ewing in today’s game.

,A.J. Ewing will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,In the last 14 days, A.J. Ewing’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 92.7 mph to 88 mph.

,Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks.

,Jose Ramirez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 82.8-mph over the last two weeks.

,Jose Ramirez has posted a .243 BABIP this year, ranking in the 6th percentile.

,Marcus Semien’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Marcus Semien is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Bo Bichette has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 14 days.

,Over the last 14 days, Bo Bichette’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90 mph to 81.3 mph.

,Luis Robert Jr.’s launch angle recently (-10° in the past week’s worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 12.6° seasonal angle.

,Cristian Pache will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hedges in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Batting from the same side that Nolan McLean throws from, Austin Hedges will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Over the last week, Brayan Rocchio’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

,Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In the past two weeks, Carson Benge’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 91.5 mph to 89.1 mph.

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