Royals vs Mets match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, July 7th

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KC @ NYM

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Royals @ Mets Matchup Details

Teams : Kansas City Royals at New York Mets

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 7th
Time : 07/07/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Kansas City Royals Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Carson Benge is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 84%.

,Carson Benge will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today’s game.

,Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Brett Baty’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph in recent games.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Kameron Misner’s footspeed has improved this year. His 28.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.33 ft/sec now.

,Grading out in the 79th percentile, Kameron Misner sports a .314 BABIP since the start of last season.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Bo Bichette ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Carter Jensen ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Carter Jensen will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Francisco Alvarez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.1% rate last season to 17.2% this season.

,When it comes to his BABIP skill, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,A.J. Ewing will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The 4th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the New York Mets.

,It may be smart to expect better results for the New York Mets offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,The New York Mets have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today’s game.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,Bobby Witt Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Bobby Witt Jr. has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past two weeks.

,Carson Benge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Seth Lugo has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

,When assessing his home run talent, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jac Caglianone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Jac Caglianone hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo today.

,Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 11°, Jared Young has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.3° figure in the past 14 days.

Negatives with the New York Mets Game Today

The #4 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

,Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

,Carson Benge has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 2.7% in the last two weeks.

,Carson Benge’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.2-mph in the past two weeks.

,The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side (0) today against Seth Lugo,From last year to this one, Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16% to 10.2%.

,Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 98.7-mph mark last season has dropped to 96-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.6°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) in the past two weeks.

,Brett Baty is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, Brett Baty has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

,Placing in the 8th percentile, Brett Baty sits with a .269 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,With a .301 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Brett Baty is positioned in the 7th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 4th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Kameron Misner is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Kameron Misner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

,Bo Bichette has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.8°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.3°) in the past two weeks.

,Carter Jensen will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In the last 7 days, Carter Jensen’s 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.5%.

,Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Seth Lugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup.

,Francisco Alvarez has displayed bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 16th percentile with a 3.7 K/BB rate.

,A.J. Ewing has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

,A.J. Ewing’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 46.6% on the season to 32.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,When it comes to his home run talent, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,A.J. Ewing’s launch angle lately (1.7° over the last week) is significantly worse than his 12.3° seasonal figure.

,The #8 park in the league for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,In his previous GS, Seth Lugo was rolling and conceded 0 ER.

,Seth Lugo has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in baseball on balls in play this year with a .316 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

,The #4 field in the league for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Hitting from the same side that Kodai Senga throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge today.

,Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,In terms of plate discipline, Carson Benge’s talent is quite bad, posting a 3.27 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 24th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jac Caglianone in today’s game.

,Jac Caglianone has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 16% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jac Caglianone has been lucky given the .017 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

,Jared Young is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,This year, Jared Young has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Jared Young has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Over the past two weeks, Jared Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95.8 mph to 93.4 mph.

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